Carrier route record
ASMCO→SAN
Alaska Airlines · Orlando to San Diego
- Flights
- 627
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Share of route
- 58%
- Carriers
- 2
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Alaska Airlines.
Alaska on MCO to SAN lands a B+, 5 points better than the national rate of 77.3%. About one flight in six arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by about an hour on average. That rests on 627 flights, with a median arrival 12 minutes early.
Set against the rest of the country, Alaska's MCO to SAN record is 5 points better than the US average of 77.3%. That gap is worth roughly 49 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.
Key figures
On time
82.2%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 622 completed flights
Avg delay
60 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
0.64%
National rate is 1.89%
Whole route
76.7%
Every carrier on MCO to SAN, 1,086 flights
These figures cover 627 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. The median arrival is 12 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
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Carrier by carrier
Alaska against every carrier on MCO to SAN
Alaska flew 627 of the 1,086 flights on MCO to SAN, most of the route. Its 82.2% on time is 6 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 76.7%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of two carriers on the route, where the range runs from Alaska at 82.2% to Southwest at 69.3%.
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Airlines (this page) | 627 | 82.2% | 60 min | 0.64% | B+ |
| Southwest Airlines | 459 | 69.3% | 49 min | 0.65% | C+ |
Flight by flight
Alaska flight numbers on MCO to SAN
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Departure window
When Alaska runs best on this route
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 20 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier.
- 5am–8am244 flights92.5%
- 8am–11am26 flights—
- 11am–2pm—
- 2pm–5pm56 flights87.5%
- 5pm–8pm301 flights72.3%
- 8pm–5am—
Scale runs 65% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Book the early departure. Flights leaving between 5am–8am arrive on time 92.5% of the time, against 72.3% for the evening window. That is 20 points of difference for no extra money, and it comes from the same aircraft having had no earlier flight to fall behind on. The 5pm–8pm window is the busiest, with 301 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
Alaska on MCO to SAN through the year
Delays peak in November, when the on-time rate falls to 74.4%. February is the strongest month at 92.9%. Moving a flexible trip across that boundary buys 19 points. January was the busiest month here, with 62 flights.
Across the week, Tuesday is the strongest day at 92.0% on time and Sunday the weakest at 71.1%, a spread of 21 points.
Arrival by arrival
How late Alaska on MCO to SAN runs when it is late
Alaska on MCO to SAN often beats the schedule: 290 of 622 completed flights, 47%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 111 late arrivals split 39 under half an hour, 33 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 39 an hour or more.
- 15+ min early290 flights46.6%
- Within 15 min221 flights35.5%
- 15–29 min late39 flights6.3%
- 30–59 min late33 flights5.3%
- 1–2 hours late28 flights4.5%
- 2+ hours late11 flights1.8%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 622 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
A late pushback is often recovered here: of 146 departures that left 15 minutes late or more, 61 still arrived on time. 26 flights left on time and still arrived late.
The worst days
Worst days for Alaska on MCO to SAN
The latest arrival of the period was on 3 January 2026, 5 hours 9 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as a late-arriving aircraft. The same cause led on four of the five worst days.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 3 January 2026 | 5 hours 9 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 16 March 2026 | 4 hours 9 minutes | Extreme weather |
| 18 September 2025 | 3 hours 55 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 25 October 2025 | 2 hours 45 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 17 July 2026 | 2 hours 40 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
Delay causes
Why Alaska runs late on this route
Carriers report a reason for every delay minute they cause, in five DOT categories. The split below is by minutes, not by number of flights, so a handful of very long weather delays weighs as much as many short ones. It covers 6,649 reported delay minutes.
- 41%Late-arriving aircraft
- 27%National Airspace System
- 18%Carrier
- 13%Extreme weather
- 0%Security
Extreme weather accounts for 13% of delay minutes, well above the single-digit share typical across the system. Weather delays are lumpy: they arrive as whole bad days rather than as a steady drag, so the monthly strip above is the more useful view of the risk. The national share is 6%, so this operation carries roughly 2.2 times the usual weather exposure. The split is drawn from 6,649 reported delay minutes.
41% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 6,649 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 3 to one.
Cancellations are rare at 0.64%, below the national 1.89% and low enough to earn the plus on the grade. Roughly one flight in 100 is called off; the risk here is arriving late, not not arriving.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
6.3% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.3%, so a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last about an hour, which a normal layover absorbs.
At 2,149 miles this is transcontinental flying, and long routes get a quiet structural advantage. Scheduled block time on a flight this length carries more padding in absolute minutes, so a twenty-minute late departure often still becomes an on-time arrival. Read the on-time rate here as slightly flattering next to a short-haul route with the same operational quality.
The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 78.3% on time across 628 flights, 4 points below this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 4 points of difference.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 627 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Alaska on MCO to SAN
Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 627 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 82.2% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 622 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- MCO to SAN, every carrier
- Alaska on SAN to MCO, the return leg
- Southwest Airlines on MCO to SAN69.3%
- Alaska Airlines network-wide record
- Orlando International (MCO) delay statistics
- San Diego International (SAN) delay statistics
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
- The best time of day to fly, according to 7.05 million flight records
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.