Carrier route record

YXMCO→RDU

Republic Airways · Orlando to Raleigh

Flights: 129
Period: July 2025 to June 2026
Share of route: 5%
Carriers: 4

Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.

Republic on MCO to RDU lands a B+, 4 points better than the national rate of 77.6%. About one flight in five arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by close to two hours on average. That is a workable record, not a spotless one. That rests on 129 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, Delta Air Lines, flew 1,005 at 79.3% on time.

The US average over the same twelve months is 77.6%, so there is little to separate Republic on MCO to RDU from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.

On time

81.4%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 129 completed flights

Avg delay

103 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

0.00%

National rate is 1.81%

Whole route

76.8%

Every carrier on MCO to RDU, 2,702 flights

These figures cover 129 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. The median arrival is 13 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.

Carrier by carrier

Republic against every carrier on MCO to RDU

Republic flew 129 of the 2,702 flights on MCO to RDU, about 5% of it. Its 81.4% on time is 5 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 76.8%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of four carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 81.4% to Southwest at 71.7%.

The choice of carrier is not cosmetic here. Delta Air Lines arrives on time 79.3% of the time; Southwest Airlines manages 71.7%. Sample sizes sit next to every figure, because a two-point gap across 844 flights means less than a ten-point one.

On-time performance by carrier on MCO to RDU
Airline	Flights	On time	Avg delay	Cancelled	Grade
Republic Airways (this page)thin sample	129	81.4%	103 min	0.00%	B+
Delta Air Lines	1,005	79.3%	92 min	2.39%	B
Frontier Airlines	724	78.4%	80 min	1.10%	B
Southwest Airlines	844	71.7%	60 min	1.90%	C

Delta leads Southwest by 8 points. Real, but small enough that a better departure time on the weaker carrier can outweigh it.

Departure window

When Republic runs best on this route

Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 129 flights.

There are not enough flights in each departure window to split Republic's MCO to RDU record by time of day without the percentages moving on noise. The headline rate of 81.4% is the reliable figure here.

Across the year

Republic on MCO to RDU through the year

Jul–Sep 202592 flights79.3%
Oct–Dec 202534 flights88.2%
Jan–Mar 20263 flights—

Scale runs 70% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 81.4% on time across 129 flights.

Split by quarter, Republic on MCO to RDU logged 92 flights in Jul–Sep 2025, 34 flights in Oct–Dec 2025 and 3 flights in Jan–Mar 2026. Fewer than three of those quarters carried the 30 completed flights this site needs before printing a rate, so the 81.4% annual figure is the one to use.

Delay causes

Why Republic runs late on this route

One category carries most of the weight here. Carrier accounts for 68% of the 2,467 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.

Carrier
68%
National Airspace System
29%
Late-arriving aircraft
2%
Extreme weather
1%

The largest share of delay minutes, 68%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. Unlike weather, that is a management outcome, and it is the category where the gap between two carriers on the same schedule is genuinely earned. It accounts for 1,675 of the 2,467 delay minutes reported here. The split is drawn from 2,467 reported delay minutes.

Cancellations are rare at 0.00%, below the national 1.81% and low enough to earn the plus on the grade. Almost no flights are called off; the risk here is arriving late, not not arriving.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

6.2% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.1%. That is the figure that decides a connection, and it says a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last close to two hours, which a normal layover absorbs.

The 534 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.

The return leg runs 81.2% on time across 129 flights, within half a point of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 129 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking Republic on MCO to RDU

Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 129 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 81.4% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 129 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.

Key figures