Carrier route record

YXRDU→MCO

Republic Airways · Raleigh to Orlando

Flights: 129
Period: July 2025 to June 2026
Share of route: 5%
Carriers: 4

Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.

Republic on RDU to MCO lands a B+, 4 points better than the national rate of 77.6%. About one flight in five arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by roughly 40 minutes on average. That is a workable record, not a spotless one. That rests on 129 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, Delta Air Lines, flew 1,005 at 81.9% on time.

Delta Air Lines is the most reliable of the three carriers covered here at 81.9% on time across 1,005 flights.

On time

81.2%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 128 completed flights

Avg delay

38 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

0.00%

National rate is 1.81%

Whole route

78.3%

Every carrier on RDU to MCO, 2,702 flights

These figures cover 129 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. The median arrival is 10 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.

Carrier by carrier

Republic against every carrier on RDU to MCO

Republic flew 129 of the 2,702 flights on RDU to MCO, about 5% of it. Its 81.2% on time is 3 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 78.3%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number two of four carriers on the route, where the range runs from Delta at 81.9% to Frontier at 73.0%.

The choice of carrier is not cosmetic here. Delta Air Lines arrives on time 81.9% of the time; Frontier Airlines manages 73.0%. Sample sizes sit next to every figure, because a two-point gap across 724 flights means less than a ten-point one.

On-time performance by carrier on RDU to MCO
Airline	Flights	On time	Avg delay	Cancelled	Grade
Delta Air Lines	1,005	81.9%	80 min	2.39%	B
Republic Airways (this page)thin sample	129	81.2%	38 min	0.00%	B+
Southwest Airlines	844	78.2%	62 min	1.54%	B
Frontier Airlines	724	73.0%	93 min	1.80%	C

Delta leads Frontier by 9 points. Real, but small enough that a better departure time on the weaker carrier can outweigh it.

Departure window

When Republic runs best on this route

Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 129 flights.

There are not enough flights in each departure window to split Republic's RDU to MCO record by time of day without the percentages moving on noise. The headline rate of 81.2% is the reliable figure here.

Across the year

Republic on RDU to MCO through the year

Jul–Sep 202592 flights80.2%
Oct–Dec 202534 flights88.2%
Jan–Mar 20263 flights—

Scale runs 70% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 81.2% on time across 129 flights.

Split by quarter, Republic on RDU to MCO logged 92 flights in Jul–Sep 2025, 34 flights in Oct–Dec 2025 and 3 flights in Jan–Mar 2026. Fewer than three of those quarters carried the 30 completed flights this site needs before printing a rate, so the 81.2% annual figure is the one to use.

Delay causes

Why Republic runs late on this route

One category carries most of the weight here. Carrier accounts for 48% of the 901 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.

Carrier
48%
National Airspace System
39%
Late-arriving aircraft
12%
Extreme weather
1%

The largest share of delay minutes, 48%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. Unlike weather, that is a management outcome, and it is the category where the gap between two carriers on the same schedule is genuinely earned. It accounts for 435 of the 901 delay minutes reported here. The split is drawn from 901 reported delay minutes.

39% of delay minutes are charged to the National Airspace System: air traffic volume, runway configuration, ground stops. No carrier can price its way out of that, which is why airport choice moves the number here more than carrier choice does. That is 349 minutes out of 901, against a national NAS share of 21%.

Cancellations are rare at 0.00%, below the national 1.81% and low enough to earn the plus on the grade. Almost no flights are called off; the risk here is arriving late, not not arriving.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

Badly late arrivals are rare here: only 3.9% land an hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. Connections built on this flight are about as safe as US domestic connections get, though a cancelled flight still ignores every layover you give it.

The 534 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.

The return leg runs 81.4% on time across 129 flights, within half a point of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 129 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking Republic on RDU to MCO

Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 129 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 81.2% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 128 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.

Key figures