Carrier route record
F9MCO→JFK
Frontier Airlines · Orlando to New York
- Flights
- 232
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Share of route
- 5%
- Carriers
- 3
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Frontier Airlines.
Frontier on MCO to JFK earns an A. Close to nine flights in ten arrive inside the 15-minute window the DOT uses to define an on-time arrival, which puts it 10 points better than the national rate of 77.3%. When something does go wrong the average delay runs a little over an hour. That rests on 232 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, Delta Air Lines, flew 1,981 at 77.9% on time.
Set against the rest of the country, Frontier's MCO to JFK record is 10 points better than the US average of 77.3%. That gap is worth roughly 100 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.
Key figures
On time
87.3%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 228 completed flights
Avg delay
71 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
1.72%
National rate is 1.89%
Whole route
74.9%
Every carrier on MCO to JFK, 4,813 flights
These figures cover 232 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. The median arrival is 12 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
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Carrier by carrier
Frontier against every carrier on MCO to JFK
Frontier flew 232 of the 4,813 flights on MCO to JFK, about 5% of it. Its 87.3% on time is 12 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 74.9%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of three carriers on the route, where the range runs from Frontier at 87.3% to JetBlue at 71.5%.
The choice of carrier is not cosmetic here. Delta Air Lines arrives on time 77.9% of the time; JetBlue Airways manages 71.5%. Sample sizes sit next to every figure, because a two-point gap across 2,600 flights means less than a ten-point one.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frontier Airlines (this page)thin sample | 232 | 87.3% | 71 min | 1.72% | A |
| Delta Air Lines | 1,981 | 77.9% | 83 min | 3.23% | B− |
| JetBlue Airways | 2,600 | 71.5% | 85 min | 4.31% | C− |
JetBlue Airways cancels 4.3% of what it schedules here, the highest in the table. A cancelled flight never appears in an on-time rate, so read that column alongside the punctuality one rather than after it.
Timetable by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.
Departure window
When Frontier runs best on this route
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 21 points, against 6 points between the best and worst carrier.
- 5am–8am170 flights91.7%
- 8am–11am39 flights71.1%
- 11am–2pm23 flights—
- 2pm–5pm—
- 5pm–8pm—
- 8pm–5am—
Scale runs 65% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Book the early departure. Flights leaving between 5am–8am arrive on time 91.7% of the time, against 71.1% for the morning window. That is 21 points of difference for no extra money, and it comes from the same aircraft having had no earlier flight to fall behind on. The 5am–8am window is the busiest, with 170 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
Frontier on MCO to JFK through the year
- Jul–Sep 202530 flights100.0%
- Oct–Dec 202592 flights92.4%
- Jan–Mar 202684 flights78.8%
- Apr–Jun 202626 flights—
Scale runs 70% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 87.3% on time across 232 flights.
Frontier on MCO to JFK did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Jul–Sep 2025 at 100.0% on time and its weakest Jan–Mar 2026 at 78.8%, a swing of 21 points on roughly 77 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.
Across the week, Thursday is the strongest day at 94.1% on time and Monday the weakest at 81.2%, a spread of 13 points.
Arrival by arrival
How late Frontier on MCO to JFK runs when it is late
Frontier on MCO to JFK often beats the schedule: 97 of 228 completed flights, 43%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 29 late arrivals split 11 under half an hour, 10 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 8 an hour or more.
- 15+ min early97 flights42.5%
- Within 15 min102 flights44.7%
- 15–29 min late11 flights4.8%
- 30–59 min late10 flights4.4%
- 1–2 hours late6 flights2.6%
- 2+ hours late2 flights0.9%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 228 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
6 of 25 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 24% of them. 10 flights left on time and still arrived late.
The worst days
Worst days for Frontier on MCO to JFK
The latest arrival of the period was on 24 February 2026, 10 hours 59 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as national airspace system delay. The five worst days are spread across February, March, October and April, with no single month standing out.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 24 February 2026 | 10 hours 59 minutes | National Airspace System |
| 22 March 2026 | 5 hours 5 minutes | Carrier |
| 14 October 2025 | 1 hour 38 minutes | National Airspace System |
| 13 April 2026 | 1 hour 38 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 7 April 2026 | 1 hour 21 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
Delay causes
Why Frontier runs late on this route
National Airspace System accounts for 50% of the 2,065 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 50%National Airspace System
- 37%Carrier
- 11%Late-arriving aircraft
- 2%Extreme weather
The largest share of delay minutes, 37%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. It accounts for 766 of the 2,065 delay minutes reported here. The split is drawn from 2,065 reported delay minutes.
50% of delay minutes are charged to the National Airspace System: air traffic volume, runway configuration, ground stops. No carrier can price its way out of that, which is why airport choice moves the number here more than carrier choice does. That is 1,036 minutes out of 2,065, against a national NAS share of 21%.
Cancellations sit at 1.72% against a national 1.89%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 0.00%.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
Badly late arrivals are rare here: only 3.5% land an hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Connections built on this flight are about as safe as US domestic connections get, though a cancelled flight still ignores every layover you give it.
The 944 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty.
The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 75.9% on time across 232 flights, 11 points below this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 11 points of difference.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 232 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Frontier on MCO to JFK
Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 232 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 87.3% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 228 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- MCO to JFK, every carrier
- Frontier on JFK to MCO, the return leg
- Delta Air Lines on MCO to JFK77.9%
- JetBlue Airways on MCO to JFK71.5%
- Frontier Airlines network-wide record
- Orlando International (MCO) delay statistics
- John F. Kennedy International (JFK) delay statistics
- The best time of day to fly, according to 7.05 million flight records
- Late aircraft, weather, or the airline: what actually causes US flight delays
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.