Carrier route record

F9JFK→MCO

Frontier Airlines · New York to Orlando

Flights: 232
Period: September 2025 to August 2026
Share of route: 5%
Carriers: 3

Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Frontier Airlines.

Frontier on JFK to MCO sits in the middle of the pack with a B. Close to three flights in four arrive on time by the DOT's definition, about a point worse than the national rate of 77.3%. The late ones land a little over an hour behind schedule. That rests on 232 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, Delta Air Lines, flew 1,980 at 76.2% on time.

The US average over the same twelve months is 77.3%, so there is little to separate Frontier on JFK to MCO from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.

On time

75.9%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 228 completed flights

Avg delay

75 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

1.72%

National rate is 1.89%

Whole route

73.7%

Every carrier on JFK to MCO, 4,804 flights

These figures cover 232 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 8.3% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally.

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Carrier by carrier

Frontier against every carrier on JFK to MCO

Frontier flew 232 of the 4,804 flights on JFK to MCO, about 5% of it. Its 75.9% on time is 2 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 73.7%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number two of three carriers on the route, where the range runs from Delta at 76.2% to JetBlue at 71.6%.

The two carriers here are closely matched: 5 points separate the best from the worst. At that spread, schedule and price are better tie-breakers than reliability. Sample sizes are shown so you can see which rows are worth weighing.

On-time performance by carrier on JFK to MCO
Airline	Flights	On time	Avg delay	Cancelled	Grade
Delta Air Lines	1,980	76.2%	71 min	3.23%	B−
Frontier Airlines (this page)thin sample	232	75.9%	75 min	1.72%	B
JetBlue Airways	2,592	71.6%	84 min	4.44%	C−

JetBlue Airways cancels 4.4% of what it schedules here, the highest in the table. A cancelled flight never appears in an on-time rate, so read that column alongside the punctuality one rather than after it.

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Departure window

When Frontier runs best on this route

Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 232 flights.

5am–8am122 flights76.9%
8am–11am19 flights—
11am–2pm68 flights84.8%
2pm–5pm23 flights—
5pm–8pm—
8pm–5am—

Scale runs 70% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

The best window here is not the first bank but the 11am–2pm slot at 84.8% on time, ahead of 5am–8am at 76.9%. Where the curve peaks mid-day rather than at dawn, the constraint is usually congestion at one end rather than the aircraft's own rotation. The 5am–8am window is the busiest, with 122 flights scheduled in it.

Across the year

Frontier on JFK to MCO through the year

Jul–Sep 202530 flights80.0%
Oct–Dec 202592 flights71.4%
Jan–Mar 202684 flights76.5%
Apr–Jun 202626 flights—

Scale runs 65% to 85%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 75.9% on time across 232 flights.

Quarter by quarter Frontier on JFK to MCO held fairly steady: 80.0% in Jul–Sep 2025, 71.4% in Oct–Dec 2025 and 76.5% in Jan–Mar 2026. A spread of 9 points is about what a sample of this size moves on its own, so the annual figure is a fair summary.

Across the week, Wednesday is the strongest day at 84.8% on time and Tuesday the weakest at 66.7%, a spread of 18 points.

Arrival by arrival

How late Frontier on JFK to MCO runs when it is late

Frontier on JFK to MCO often beats the schedule: 70 of 228 completed flights, 31%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 55 late arrivals split 21 under half an hour, 15 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 19 an hour or more.

15+ min early70 flights30.7%
Within 15 min103 flights45.2%
15–29 min late21 flights9.2%
30–59 min late15 flights6.6%
1–2 hours late11 flights4.8%
2+ hours late8 flights3.5%

Scale runs 0% to 100%.

Share of 228 completed flights by arrival against schedule.

10 of 55 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 18% of them. 10 flights left on time and still arrived late.

The worst days

Worst days for Frontier on JFK to MCO

The latest arrival of the period was on 24 February 2026, 10 hours 28 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as a late-arriving aircraft. The same cause led on three of the five worst days.

The latest arrivals of Frontier on JFK to MCO in the period
Date	Arrived late by	Largest filed cause
24 February 2026	10 hours 28 minutes	Late-arriving aircraft
10 October 2025	7 hours 53 minutes	Carrier
22 March 2026	5 hours	Late-arriving aircraft
30 September 2025	2 hours 19 minutes	Late-arriving aircraft
26 December 2025	2 hours 17 minutes	Carrier

Delay causes

Why Frontier runs late on this route

Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 50% of the 4,117 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.

Late-arriving aircraft
50%
Carrier
35%
National Airspace System
12%
Extreme weather
2%

50% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 4,117 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 21 to one. The split is drawn from 4,117 reported delay minutes.

The largest share of delay minutes, 35%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. It accounts for 1,449 of the 4,117 delay minutes reported here.

Cancellations sit at 1.72% against a national 1.89%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 0.00%.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

8.3% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.3%, so a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last a little over an hour, which a normal layover absorbs.

The 944 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty.

The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 87.3% on time across 232 flights, 11 points above this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 11 points of difference.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 232 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking Frontier on JFK to MCO

Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 232 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 75.9% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 228 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated 22 October 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.

Key figures