Route reliability record
LAX→OAK
Los Angeles to Oakland
- Flights
- 2,055
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Distance
- 337 mi
- Carriers
- 1
This route lands a B+, 3 points better than the national rate of 77.3%. About one flight in five arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by about 50 minutes on average. That rests on 2,055 LAX to OAK flights, with a median arrival 8 minutes early.
Best time to fly LAX to OAK: a 5am–8am departure, ideally on a Wednesday. Flights in that window arrived on time 96.9% of the time and Wednesday flights 87.4%, against 79.8% for the route overall.
The US average over the same twelve months is 77.3%, so there is little to separate this route from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.
Key figures
On time
79.8%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 2,047 completed flights
Avg delay
49 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
0.39%
National rate is 1.89%
Best carrier
Southwest
79.8% on time across 2,055 flights
These figures cover 2,055 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. The median arrival is 8 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
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Carrier by carrier
Which airline is most reliable on LAX to OAK
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Airlines | 2,055 | 79.8% | 49 min | 0.39% | B+ |
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Best ways to make this trip
The most reliable ways to fly Los Angeles to Oakland
Every airline on this route and on the routes between nearby airports, ranked by how often a scheduled flight actually operated and arrived on time. 5 of the top 5 use a different airport at one end.
| Option | Airline | Success | On time | Cancelled | Best departure | Most punctual flight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. LAX → SJCLos Angeles to San Jose | SkyWest Airlines | 90.3% | 90.7% | 0.39% | 8am–11am, Tue | OO 3883 18:00 |
| 2. LGB → OAKLong Beach to Oakland | Southwest Airlines | 88.1% | 88.5% | 0.45% | 5am–8am, Tue | — |
| 3. ONT → SJCOntario to San Jose | Southwest Airlines | 85.8% | 85.9% | 0.08% | 5am–8am, Tue | — |
| 4. LGB → SJCLong Beach to San Jose | Southwest Airlines | 85.8% | 86.0% | 0.24% | 8am–11am, Sat | — |
| 5. ONT → OAKOntario to Oakland | Southwest Airlines | 85.5% | 86.0% | 0.55% | 5am–8am, Tue | — |
Success is the share of scheduled flights that operated and arrived less than 15 minutes late, so a cancelled flight counts against it. “(route)” means the best time comes from every carrier on the route rather than this airline alone.
Departure window
The best time of day to leave
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 38 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier.
- 5am–8am289 flights96.9%
- 8am–11am447 flights88.1%
- 11am–2pm329 flights78.9%
- 2pm–5pm309 flights76.0%
- 5pm–8pm463 flights74.3%
- 8pm–5am218 flights58.7%
Scale runs 50% to 100%.
The 8pm–5am window is where this operation falls apart: 58.7% on time, against 96.9% for the 5am–8am slot. By evening the aircraft flying these rotations have absorbed a full day of small delays and there is no slack left to recover in. The 5pm–8pm window is the busiest, with 463 flights scheduled in it.
Explore
Filter LAX to OAK by airline, time, month and day
Pick a breakdown and a carrier. The dashed mark on each row is the same slice for every US flight.
On LAX to OAK, the best departure window is 5am–8am at 96.9% on time and the worst is 8pm–5am at 58.7%, a wide gap of 38.2 points. All US flights leaving 5am–8am ran 89.3%.
- 5–8am96.9%
- 8–11am88.1%
- 11am–2pm78.9%
- 2–5pm76.0%
- 5–8pm74.3%
- 8pm–5am58.7%
best all US flightsScale 50% to 100%.
Across the year
When delays peak on this route
This route's year swings by 22 points from best month to worst, which is wide. An annual average tells you very little about the week you are actually flying, so read the strip rather than the headline if your dates are fixed.
June is the worst month at 65.6% on time, 22 points below January, the best at 87.3%. Summer afternoon convection and peak-season schedules land on the same weeks every year, so this is a pattern you can book around rather than a run of bad luck. October was the busiest month here, with 197 flights.
Across the week, Wednesday is the strongest day at 87.4% on time and Friday the weakest at 73.3%, a spread of 14 points.
Delay causes
Why this route gets delayed
Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 68% of the 20,000 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 68%Late-arriving aircraft
- 30%Carrier
- 2%National Airspace System
68% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 20,000 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 68 to one. The split is drawn from 20,472 reported delay minutes.
The practical consequence: the 5am–8am departure is the one that starts clean. Its aircraft has no earlier leg to be late from, which is exactly why that window shows 96.9% on time here.
Cancellations are rare at 0.39%, below the national 1.89% and low enough to earn the plus on the grade. Roughly one flight in 100 is called off; the risk here is arriving late, not not arriving.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here actually costs
5.4% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.3%, so a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last about 50 minutes, which a normal layover absorbs.
At 337 miles this is a short hop, and stage length matters more than it looks. A flight this short spends under two hours in the air, which leaves almost nothing to claw back a late pushback with. Delay here is decided on the ground, in the turn, which is why the 5am–8am window matters as much as it does.
The return leg runs 78.4% on time across 2,064 flights, within about a point of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.
The sample behind these figures is 2,055 flights, enough that the headline rate is stable to within roughly a point. The hour-block and month splits divide that further, so read the thinner bars with more caution than the headline.
Work out the risk of missing a connection in OAK after this flight
What to do with this
Booking this route
Put together: the calendar is the biggest lever here, not the carrier or the hour. January runs 87.3% on time and June 65.6%, a swing of 22 points. If the dates move at all, move them out of June before you think about anything else. 2,047 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Common questions
LAX to OAK questions
How often is LAX to OAK delayed?
About one flight in five arrives at least 15 minutes late, which is the Department of Transportation's definition of a delayed arrival. That works out to 20.2% of the 2,055 flights in this analysis, against 22.7% nationally. Delayed flights are late by about 50 minutes on average.
How reliable is LAX to OAK compared with the rest of the country?
79.8% of flights arrive on time here against a national 77.3%, a difference of 3 points in its favour. That is worth a B+ on this site's grading scale.
What time of day has the fewest delays on LAX to OAK?
The 5am–8am departure window is the strongest at 96.9% on time. The 8pm–5am window is the weakest at 58.7%, 38 points behind. Later departures inherit delays from earlier flights the same aircraft has already flown, which is why the curve slopes the way it does.
How bad are June delays on LAX to OAK?
June is the weakest month at 65.6% on time, compared with 87.3% in January. Across the year that is 22 points between the best and worst months. Moving flexible dates out of that month is one of the few things that reliably helps.
Related
Where to go next
- OAK to LAX — the return legseparate record
- Los Angeles International (LAX) delay statistics
- Oakland International (OAK) delay statistics
- LAX to SFO, a related route60.1%
- SAN to OAK, a related route72.9%
- LAX to JFK, a related route77.5%
- Southwest Airlines on-time record79.8%
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
- The best time of day to fly, according to 7.05 million flight records
Direction matters. LAX to OAK and OAK to LAX are scored separately because they are separate operations, with different departure banks and different aircraft. Compare the return leg.
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Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.