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DelayAtlas

Carrier route record

YXEWR→DTW

Republic Airways · Newark to Detroit

Flights
1,558
Period
September 2025 to August 2026
Share of route
43%
Carriers
4
B−GRADE

Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Republic Airways.

Republic on EWR to DTW carries a cancellation problem, not just a delay problem: 6.7% of scheduled flights never operate, against 1.9% nationally. Of the ones that do fly, more than four flights in five arrive on time, worth a B− overall. The punctuality figure counts only flights that actually departed, so it flatters an operation that cancels this often. That rests on 1,558 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, Delta Air Lines, flew 1,612 at 79.6% on time.

Set against the rest of the country, Republic's EWR to DTW record is 7 points better than the US average of 77.3%. That gap is worth roughly 71 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.

Key figures

On time

84.4%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 1,452 completed flights

Avg delay

70 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

6.68%

National rate is 1.89%

Whole route

79.9%

Every carrier on EWR to DTW, 3,660 flights

These figures cover 1,558 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. The median arrival is 13 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.

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Carrier by carrier

Republic against every carrier on EWR to DTW

Republic flew 1,558 of the 3,660 flights on EWR to DTW, about 43% of it. Its 84.4% on time is 5 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 79.9%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of four carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 84.4% to Spirit at 65.7%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.

The choice of carrier is not cosmetic here. Delta Air Lines arrives on time 79.6% of the time; Spirit Airlines manages 65.7%. Sample sizes sit next to every figure, because a two-point gap across 433 flights means less than a ten-point one.

On-time performance by carrier on EWR to DTW
AirlineFlightsOn timeAvg delayCancelledGrade
Republic Airways (this page)1,55884.4%70 min6.68%B−
Delta Air Lines1,61279.6%108 min4.03%B−
United Airlinesthin sample5775.0%47 min1.75%B
Spirit Airlines43365.7%75 min8.31%C−

Spirit Airlines cancels 8.3% of what it schedules here, the highest in the table. A cancelled flight never appears in an on-time rate, so read that column alongside the punctuality one rather than after it.

Flight by flight

Republic flight numbers on EWR to DTW

Timetable by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.

Departure window

When Republic runs best on this route

Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 21 points, against 14 points between the best and worst carrier.

  • 5am–8am126 flights96.0%
  • 8am–11am262 flights85.0%
  • 11am–2pm143 flights91.0%
  • 2pm–5pm509 flights84.6%
  • 5pm–8pm303 flights81.4%
  • 8pm–5am215 flights75.3%

Scale runs 65% to 100%.

Book the early departure. Flights leaving between 5am–8am arrive on time 96.0% of the time, against 75.3% for the overnight window. That is 21 points of difference for no extra money, and it comes from the same aircraft having had no earlier flight to fall behind on. The 2pm–5pm window is the busiest, with 509 flights scheduled in it.

Across the year

Republic on EWR to DTW through the year

On-time rate by calendar month87J93F86M91A94M81J80J83A87S78O82N76D
Darker means more delays. Figures are on-time percentages.May best, December worst

December is the weak month at 75.7% on time, against 94.1% in May. Winter delays cluster: a single storm system can account for most of a month's shortfall, so an average December hides both very good weeks and genuinely unflyable days. July was the busiest month here, with 153 flights.

Across the week, Tuesday is the strongest day at 88.0% on time and Sunday the weakest at 78.8%, a spread of 9 points.

On-time rate by day of the week85.1Mon88.0Tue83.4Wed84.7Thu86.6Fri84.1Sat78.8Sun
Monday: 85.1 percent on time. Tuesday: 88.0 percent on time. Wednesday: 83.4 percent on time. Thursday: 84.7 percent on time. Friday: 86.6 percent on time. Saturday: 84.1 percent on time. Sunday: 78.8 percent on time

Arrival by arrival

How late Republic on EWR to DTW runs when it is late

Republic on EWR to DTW often beats the schedule: 649 of 1,452 completed flights, 45%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 226 late arrivals split 68 under half an hour, 76 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 82 an hour or more.

  • 15+ min early649 flights44.7%
  • Within 15 min577 flights39.7%
  • 15–29 min late68 flights4.7%
  • 30–59 min late76 flights5.2%
  • 1–2 hours late46 flights3.2%
  • 2+ hours late36 flights2.5%

Scale runs 0% to 100%.

Share of 1,452 completed flights by arrival against schedule.

33 of 189 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 17% of them. 70 flights left on time and still arrived late.

The worst days

Worst days for Republic on EWR to DTW

The latest arrival of the period was on 11 June 2026, 11 hours 38 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as extreme weather. Three of the five worst days fell in June 2026.

The latest arrivals of Republic on EWR to DTW in the period
DateArrived late byLargest filed cause
11 June 202611 hours 38 minutesExtreme weather
3 July 20269 hours 57 minutesCarrier
17 August 20267 hours 48 minutesCarrier
12 June 20267 hours 3 minutesExtreme weather
6 June 20263 hours 50 minutesExtreme weather

Delay causes

Why Republic runs late on this route

Carriers report a reason for every delay minute they cause, in five DOT categories. The split below is by minutes, not by number of flights, so a handful of very long weather delays weighs as much as many short ones. It covers 16,000 reported delay minutes.

  • Late-arriving aircraft
    31%
  • National Airspace System
    31%
  • Carrier
    28%
  • Extreme weather
    9%

The practical consequence: the 5am–8am departure is the one that starts clean. Its aircraft has no earlier leg to be late from, which is exactly why that window shows 96.0% on time here. The split is drawn from 15,876 reported delay minutes.

No single cause dominates. late-arriving aircraft at 31%, national airspace system at 31% and carrier at 28% split the 16,000 reported delay minutes between them. An even spread like this usually means the operation is running close to its designed capacity with no one obvious weak point, and it is the hardest pattern for a traveller to route around.

Cancellations run at 6.68%, against 1.89% nationally. That is about one flight in fifteen cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

5.6% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.3%, so a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last a little over an hour, which a normal layover absorbs.

At 488 miles this is a short hop, and stage length matters more than it looks. A flight this short spends under two hours in the air, which leaves almost nothing to claw back a late pushback with. Delay here is decided on the ground, in the turn, which is why the 5am–8am window matters as much as it does.

The return leg runs 81.8% on time across 1,539 flights, within 3 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.

The sample behind these figures is 1,558 flights, enough that the headline rate is stable to within roughly a point. The hour-block and month splits divide that further, so read the thinner bars with more caution than the headline.

What to do with this

Booking Republic on EWR to DTW

Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 6.68% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you a little over an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 5am–8am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 1,452 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Related

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.