Carrier route record
AADFW→MSP
American Airlines · Dallas-Fort Worth to Minneapolis
- Flights
- 1,616
- Period
- July 2025 to June 2026
- Share of route
- 50%
- Carriers
- 5
Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with American Airlines.
American on DFW to MSP carries a cancellation problem, not just a delay problem: 3.4% of scheduled flights never operate, against 1.8% nationally. Of the ones that do fly, about two flights in three arrive on time, worth a C− overall. The punctuality figure counts only flights that actually departed, so it flatters an operation that cancels this often. That rests on 1,616 flights, with a median arrival 3 minutes late.
The national on-time rate over the same period is 77.6%, so American on DFW to MSP runs 11 points behind the country as a whole. Across a thousand flights that is about 114 extra late arrivals.
Key figures
On time
66.2%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 1,559 completed flights
Avg delay
67 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
3.40%
National rate is 1.81%
Whole route
73.9%
Every carrier on DFW to MSP, 3,259 flights
These figures cover 1,616 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 12.9% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.
Carrier by carrier
American against every carrier on DFW to MSP
American flew 1,616 of the 3,259 flights on DFW to MSP, about 50% of it. Its 66.2% on time is 8 points worse than the route as a whole, which runs 73.9%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number four of five carriers on the route, where the range runs from Envoy at 100.0% to SkyWest at 0.0%. Three of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Envoy Airthin sample | 2 | 100.0% | — | 0.00% | A+ |
| Delta Air Lines | 1,411 | 81.6% | 87 min | 1.42% | B |
| Frontier Airlinesthin sample | 229 | 79.5% | 103 min | 1.31% | B |
| American Airlines (this page) | 1,616 | 66.2% | 67 min | 3.40% | C− |
| SkyWest Airlinesthin sample | 1 | 0.0% | 30 min | 0.00% | F+ |
Flight by flight
American flight numbers on DFW to MSP
Departure window
When American runs best on this route
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 29 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier. Each bar is the on-time rate for flights scheduled inside that window.
- 5am–8am266 flights82.4%
- 8am–11am155 flights82.1%
- 11am–2pm293 flights65.6%
- 2pm–5pm326 flights61.8%
- 5pm–8pm291 flights60.2%
- 8pm–5am285 flights53.4%
Scale runs 45% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The 8pm–5am window is where this operation falls apart: 53.4% on time, against 82.4% for the 5am–8am slot. By evening the aircraft flying these rotations have absorbed a full day of small delays and there is no slack left to recover in. The 2pm–5pm window is the busiest, with 326 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
American on DFW to MSP through the year
December is the weak month at 53.3% on time, against 79.9% in October. Winter delays cluster: a single storm system can account for most of a month's shortfall, so an average December hides both very good weeks and genuinely unflyable days. July was the busiest month here, with 152 flights.
Across the week, Friday is the strongest day at 73.5% on time and Sunday the weakest at 61.9%. 12 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.
Delay causes
Why American runs late on this route
One category carries most of the weight here. Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 49% of the 35,000 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.
- 49%Late-arriving aircraft
- 34%Carrier
- 11%National Airspace System
- 6%Extreme weather
49% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 35,000 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 8 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit. The split is drawn from 35,307 reported delay minutes.
The practical consequence: the 5am–8am departure is the one that starts clean. Its aircraft has no earlier leg to be late from, which is exactly why that window shows 82.4% on time here.
Cancellations run at 3.40%, against 1.81% nationally. That is about one flight in 30 cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
For anyone connecting, the number to weigh is not the on-time rate but the tail behind it. 12.9% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. A 45-minute layover does not survive that, and no amount of walking quickly changes it. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.
The 852 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.
The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 75.7% on time across 1,618 flights, 10 points above this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 10 points of difference.
The sample behind these figures is 1,616 flights, enough that the headline rate is stable to within roughly a point. The hour-block and month splits divide that further, so read the thinner bars with more caution than the headline.
What to do with this
Booking American on DFW to MSP
Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 3.40% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you about an hour; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 5am–8am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 1,559 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- DFW to MSP, every carrier
- American on MSP to DFW, the return leg
- Delta Air Lines on DFW to MSP81.6%
- Frontier Airlines on DFW to MSP79.5%
- American Airlines network-wide record
- Dallas/Fort Worth International (DFW) delay statistics
- Minneapolis-St Paul International (MSP) delay statistics
- The US routes with the most cancellations
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.