Flight number record
AA 2806
American Airlines · Dallas-Fort Worth to Minneapolis
- Route
- DFW → MSP
- Departs
- 21:15
- Flights
- 285
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s AA 2806, check with American Airlines.
AA 2806 earns a D−, which is as low as this site's scale goes for a reason. Only 57.9% of flights arrive inside the 15-minute window, 19 points worse than the national rate of 77.3%. Late arrivals average about an hour. Treat any tight connection here as a coin flip. That rests on 285 flights, with a median arrival 8 minutes late.
The national on-time rate over the same period is 77.3%, so AA 2806 runs 19 points behind the country as a whole. Across a thousand flights that is about 194 extra late arrivals.
Key figures
On time
57.9%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 271 completed flights
Avg delay
64 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
4.91%
National rate is 1.89%
1 hour+ late
13.7%
National rate is 8.3%
These figures cover 285 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 13.7% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally.
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Schedule
When AA 2806 flies
AA 2806 flies DFW to MSP without a single fixed slot. Its most common scheduled departure was 21:15, used on 74 of 285 flights, with 18:51 (73 flights) next.
- Departs 21:1574 flights26.0%
- Departs 18:5173 flights25.6%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of scheduled departures at each local time. Times used on fewer than one flight in ten are not listed.
A 21:15 departure sits in the 8pm–5am window. Across every US flight scheduled in that window the on-time rate is 70.1%, and AA 2806 runs 12 points worse at 57.9%. By that time of day most aircraft have flown several legs already, and whatever went wrong earlier is still in the schedule.
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Against the route
AA 2806 next to DFW to MSP
Every carrier on DFW to MSP combined arrived on time 74.0% of the time across 3,311 flights, so AA 2806 is 16 points behind it. American flew 1,628 flights on the same city pair under all its flight numbers, including this one, and those ran 66.7% on time. Across its whole network American Airlines managed 74.7%, which this flight trails by 17 points.
| Compared with | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AA 2806thin sample | 285 | 57.9% | 64 min | 4.91% | D− |
| All American Airlines on DFW–MSP | 1,628 | 66.7% | 66 min | 2.76% | C |
| All carriers on DFW–MSP | 3,311 | 74.0% | 73 min | 2.08% | C |
| American Airlines, whole network | 988,892 | 74.7% | 85 min | 2.14% | C |
Across the year
AA 2806 quarter by quarter
AA 2806 did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Jan–Mar 2026 at 59.8% on time and its weakest Jul–Sep 2026 at 46.5%, a swing of 13 points on roughly 71 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.
- Jul–Sep 202529 flights—
- Oct–Dec 202577 flights56.2%
- Jan–Mar 202689 flights59.8%
- Apr–Jun 202647 flights51.1%
- Jul–Sep 202643 flights46.5%
Scale runs 40% to 65%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
By weekday, AA 2806 did best on Tuesday at 75.0% on time and worst on Saturday at 45.9%. Each day rests on about 41 flights, so a gap of 29 points is worth noticing but could still narrow in another year.
Arrival by arrival
How late AA 2806 runs when it is late
The 114 late arrivals split 36 under half an hour, 41 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 37 an hour or more.
- 15+ min early31 flights11.4%
- Within 15 min126 flights46.5%
- 15–29 min late36 flights13.3%
- 30–59 min late41 flights15.1%
- 1–2 hours late20 flights7.4%
- 2+ hours late17 flights6.3%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 271 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
23 of 125 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 18% of them. 12 flights left on time and still arrived late.
The worst days
Worst days for AA 2806
The latest arrival of the period was on 12 March 2026, 12 hours 3 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as a late-arriving aircraft. Three of the five worst days fell in July 2026.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 12 March 2026 | 12 hours 3 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 25 July 2026 | 3 hours 13 minutes | Carrier |
| 22 July 2026 | 3 hours 6 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 6 July 2026 | 3 hours 5 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 23 August 2026 | 2 hours 47 minutes | Carrier |
Delay causes
Why AA 2806 runs late
Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 56% of the 7,307 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 56%Late-arriving aircraft
- 31%Carrier
- 8%National Airspace System
- 4%Extreme weather
- 0%Security
56% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 7,307 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 13 to one. The split is drawn from 7,307 delay minutes reported on AA 2806.
Cancellations run at 4.91%, against 1.89% nationally. That is about one flight in twenty cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and routes
What a delay on this flight costs
13.7% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum for a connection here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.
The 852 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty.
The same number turns up on three other city pairs in the data, including BDL to MIA (31), MIA to BDL (24) and MYR to CLT (9), but none flew often enough under AA 2806 to report a rate for. Carriers move flight numbers between routes, so the figures on this page apply to DFW to MSP only.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 285 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking AA 2806
For a booking, the cancellation rate is the figure to plan around on AA 2806: 4.91% of its 285 scheduled flights did not operate. A late arrival costs about an hour, but a cancellation costs the day, so leave a later option open.
Related
Where to go next
- DFW to MSP, every carrier and departure
- MSP to DFW, the return direction
- Delta Air Lines 1276 on the same route89.4%
- Delta Air Lines 2972 on the same route84.1%
- Dallas/Fort Worth International (DFW) delay statistics
- Minneapolis-St Paul International (MSP) delay statistics
- American Airlines on-time record
- Every American Airlines flight number with a record
- The most and least reliable flight numbers in the US
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
A flight number here means American Airlines’s own number as it reports to the DOT. How the figures are computed is on the methodology page.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.