Carrier route record

WNDEN→BNA

Southwest Airlines · Denver to Nashville

Flights: 2,142
Period: July 2025 to June 2026
Share of route: 59%
Carriers: 3

Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Southwest Airlines.

Southwest on DEN to BNA sits in the middle of the pack with a C+. About seven flights in ten arrive on time by the DOT's definition, 5 points worse than the national rate of 77.6%. The late ones land about an hour behind schedule. That rests on 2,142 flights, with a median arrival right on schedule.

The national on-time rate over the same period is 77.6%, so Southwest on DEN to BNA runs 5 points behind the country as a whole. Across a thousand flights that is about 50 extra late arrivals.

On time

72.6%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 2,121 completed flights

Avg delay

56 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

0.79%

National rate is 1.81%

Whole route

74.3%

Every carrier on DEN to BNA, 3,658 flights

These figures cover 2,142 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 8.1% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.

Carrier by carrier

Southwest against every carrier on DEN to BNA

Southwest flew 2,142 of the 3,658 flights on DEN to BNA, most of the route. Its 72.6% on time is 2 points worse than the route as a whole, which runs 74.3%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number two of three carriers on the route, where the range runs from United at 78.2% to Frontier at 72.4%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.

Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.

On-time performance by carrier on DEN to BNA
Airline	Flights	On time	Avg delay	Cancelled	Grade
United Airlines	1,168	78.2%	59 min	0.43%	B+
Southwest Airlines (this page)	2,142	72.6%	56 min	0.79%	C+
Frontier Airlinesthin sample	348	72.4%	64 min	0.86%	C+

Departure window

When Southwest runs best on this route

Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 51 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier. Each bar is the on-time rate for flights scheduled inside that window.

5am–8am525 flights94.6%
8am–11am412 flights86.5%
11am–2pm306 flights69.5%
2pm–5pm374 flights59.4%
5pm–8pm397 flights53.0%
8pm–5am128 flights44.0%

Scale runs 35% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

The 8pm–5am window is where this operation falls apart: 44.0% on time, against 94.6% for the 5am–8am slot. By evening the aircraft flying these rotations have absorbed a full day of small delays and there is no slack left to recover in. The 5am–8am window is the busiest, with 525 flights scheduled in it.

Across the year

Southwest on DEN to BNA through the year

Darker means more delays. Figures are on-time percentages.January best, June worst

June is the worst month at 57.6% on time, 31 points below January, the best at 88.7%. Summer afternoon convection and peak-season schedules land on the same weeks every year, so this is a pattern you can book around rather than a run of bad luck. July was the busiest month here, with 217 flights.

Across the week, Saturday is the strongest day at 79.3% on time and Thursday the weakest at 67.3%. 12 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.

Delay causes

Why Southwest runs late on this route

One category carries most of the weight here. Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 56% of the 32,000 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.

Late-arriving aircraft
56%
Carrier
28%
National Airspace System
15%
Extreme weather
1%
Security
0%

56% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 32,000 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 37 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit. The split is drawn from 32,419 reported delay minutes.

The practical consequence: the 5am–8am departure is the one that starts clean. Its aircraft has no earlier leg to be late from, which is exactly why that window shows 94.6% on time here.

Cancellations are rare at 0.79%, below the national 1.81% and low enough to earn the plus on the grade. Roughly one flight in 100 is called off; the risk here is arriving late, not not arriving.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

8.1% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.1%. That is the figure that decides a connection, and it says a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last about an hour, which a normal layover absorbs.

The 1,013 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.

The return leg runs 72.3% on time across 2,148 flights, within half a point of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.

The sample behind these figures is 2,142 flights, enough that the headline rate is stable to within roughly a point. The hour-block and month splits divide that further, so read the thinner bars with more caution than the headline.

What to do with this

Booking Southwest on DEN to BNA

Put together: the calendar is the biggest lever here, not the carrier or the hour. January runs 88.7% on time and June 57.6%, a swing of 31 points. If the dates move at all, move them out of June before you think about anything else. 2,121 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.

Key figures