Route reliability record
DCA→DAY
Washington to Dayton
- Flights
- 956
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Distance
- 391 mi
- Carriers
- 1
This route carries a cancellation problem, not just a delay problem: 3.7% of scheduled flights never operate, against 1.9% nationally. Of the ones that do fly, about two flights in three arrive on time, worth a D− overall. The punctuality figure counts only flights that actually departed, so it flatters an operation that cancels this often. That rests on 956 DCA to DAY flights, with a median arrival right on schedule.
Best time to fly DCA to DAY: a 5am–8am departure, ideally on a Saturday. Flights in that window arrived on time 87.6% of the time and Saturday flights 73.9%, against 63.2% for the route overall.
The national on-time rate over the same period is 77.3%, so this route runs 14 points behind the country as a whole. Across a thousand flights that is about 141 extra late arrivals.
Key figures
On time
63.2%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 919 completed flights
Avg delay
88 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
3.66%
National rate is 1.89%
Best carrier
PSA
63.2% on time across 956 flights
These figures cover 956 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 18.6% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally.
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Carrier by carrier
Which airline is most reliable on DCA to DAY
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA Airlines | 956 | 63.2% | 88 min | 3.66% | D− |
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Departure window
The best time of day to leave
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 40 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier.
- 5am–8am171 flights87.6%
- 8am–11am143 flights79.1%
- 11am–2pm26 flights—
- 2pm–5pm115 flights53.1%
- 5pm–8pm257 flights47.6%
- 8pm–5am244 flights58.4%
Scale runs 40% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The 5pm–8pm window is where this operation falls apart: 47.6% on time, against 87.6% for the 5am–8am slot. By evening the aircraft flying these rotations have absorbed a full day of small delays and there is no slack left to recover in. The 5pm–8pm window is the busiest, with 257 flights scheduled in it.
Explore
Filter DCA to DAY by airline, time, month and day
Pick a breakdown and a carrier. The dashed mark on each row is the same slice for every US flight.
On DCA to DAY, the best departure window is 5am–8am at 87.6% on time and the worst is 5pm–8pm at 47.6%, a wide gap of 40.0 points. All US flights leaving 5am–8am ran 89.3%.
- 5–8am87.6%
- 8–11am79.1%
- 11am–2pm—
- 2–5pm53.1%
- 5–8pm47.6%
- 8pm–5am58.4%
best all US flightsScale 40% to 95%. Cells under 30 flights show a dash.
Across the year
When delays peak on this route
This route's year swings by 31 points from best month to worst, which is wide. An annual average tells you very little about the week you are actually flying, so read the strip rather than the headline if your dates are fixed.
February is the weak month at 50.6% on time, against 81.4% in September. Winter delays cluster: a single storm system can account for most of a month's shortfall, so an average December hides both very good weeks and genuinely unflyable days. October was the busiest month here, with 91 flights.
Across the week, Saturday is the strongest day at 73.9% on time and Sunday the weakest at 55.2%, a spread of 19 points.
Delay causes
Why this route gets delayed
Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 54% of the 30,000 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 54%Late-arriving aircraft
- 26%Carrier
- 11%National Airspace System
- 8%Extreme weather
- 0%Security
54% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 30,000 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 7 to one. The split is drawn from 29,873 reported delay minutes.
The practical consequence: the 5am–8am departure is the one that starts clean. Its aircraft has no earlier leg to be late from, which is exactly why that window shows 87.6% on time here.
Cancellations run at 3.66%, against 1.89% nationally. That is roughly one flight in 25 cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here actually costs
18.6% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum for a connection here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.
At 391 miles this is a short hop, and stage length matters more than it looks. A flight this short spends under two hours in the air, which leaves almost nothing to claw back a late pushback with. Delay here is decided on the ground, in the turn, which is why the 5am–8am window matters as much as it does.
The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 70.8% on time across 959 flights, 8 points above this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 8 points of difference.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 956 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
Work out the risk of missing a connection in DAY after this flight
What to do with this
Booking this route
Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 3.66% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you an hour and a half; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 5am–8am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 919 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Common questions
DCA to DAY questions
How often is DCA to DAY delayed?
Roughly one flight in three arrives at least 15 minutes late, which is the Department of Transportation's definition of a delayed arrival. That works out to 36.8% of the 956 flights in this analysis, against 22.7% nationally. Delayed flights are late by an hour and a half on average.
How reliable is DCA to DAY compared with the rest of the country?
63.2% of flights arrive on time here against a national 77.3%, a difference of 14 points against it. That is worth a D− on this site's grading scale.
What time of day has the fewest delays on DCA to DAY?
The 5am–8am departure window is the strongest at 87.6% on time. The 5pm–8pm window is the weakest at 47.6%, 40 points behind. Later departures inherit delays from earlier flights the same aircraft has already flown, which is why the curve slopes the way it does.
How bad are February delays on DCA to DAY?
February is the weakest month at 50.6% on time, compared with 81.4% in September. Across the year that is 31 points between the best and worst months. Moving flexible dates out of that month is one of the few things that reliably helps.
Related
Where to go next
- DAY to DCA — the return legseparate record
- Ronald Reagan Washington National (DCA) delay statistics
- DCA to BOS, a related route70.1%
- ORD to DAY, a related route66.2%
- DCA to ORD, a related route73.8%
- PSA Airlines on-time record63.2%
- The US routes with the most cancellations
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
Direction matters. DCA to DAY and DAY to DCA are scored separately because they are separate operations, with different departure banks and different aircraft. Compare the return leg.
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Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.