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DelayAtlas

Route reliability record

BUR→SFO

Burbank to San Francisco

Flights
3,104
Period
September 2025 to August 2026
Distance
326 mi
Carriers
3
DGRADE

This route draws a D. Roughly one flight in two arrives at least 15 minutes late, and the typical late arrival is a little over an hour behind schedule. Build slack into anything you connect to. That rests on 3,104 BUR to SFO flights, of which SkyWest Airlines flew 928 at 72.7% on time.

Best time to fly BUR to SFO: a 5am–8am departure, ideally on a Saturday. Flights in that window arrived on time 77.9% of the time and Saturday flights 73.7%, against 59.3% for the route overall.

SkyWest Airlines is the most reliable of the three carriers covered here at 72.7% on time across 928 flights.

Key figures

On time

59.3%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 3,060 completed flights

Avg delay

69 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

1.22%

National rate is 1.89%

Best carrier

SkyWest

72.7% on time across 928 flights

These figures cover 3,104 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 16.5% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally.

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Carrier by carrier

Which airline is most reliable on BUR to SFO

The choice of carrier is not cosmetic here. SkyWest Airlines arrives on time 72.7% of the time; Southwest Airlines manages 40.4%. Sample sizes sit next to every figure, because a two-point gap across 514 flights means less than a ten-point one.

On-time performance by carrier on BUR to SFO
AirlineFlightsOn timeAvg delayCancelledGrade
SkyWest Airlines92872.7%88 min2.16%C
United Airlines1,66257.8%68 min0.60%D+
Southwest Airlines51440.4%56 min1.56%F

The spread between SkyWest and Southwest is 32 points, wide enough that it should decide the booking. On a hundred trips that is 32 more arrivals inside the on-time window.

Flight by flight

Flights on BUR to SFO

The flight numbers below flew this route at least 250 times in the period, busiest first. Each has its own record, with its schedule and delay causes.

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Best ways to make this trip

The most reliable ways to fly Burbank to San Francisco

Every airline on this route and on the routes between nearby airports, ranked by how often a scheduled flight actually operated and arrived on time. 5 of the top 5 use a different airport at one end.

Most reliable ways to fly from BUR to SFO
OptionAirlineSuccessOn timeCancelledBest departureMost punctual flight
1. LAX → SJCLos Angeles to San JoseSkyWest Airlines90.3%90.7%0.39%8am–11am, TueOO 3883 18:00
2. LGB → OAKLong Beach to OaklandSouthwest Airlines88.1%88.5%0.45%5am–8am, Tue—
3. ONT → SJCOntario to San JoseSouthwest Airlines85.8%85.9%0.08%5am–8am, Tue—
4. LGB → SJCLong Beach to San JoseSouthwest Airlines85.8%86.0%0.24%8am–11am, Sat—
5. ONT → OAKOntario to OaklandSouthwest Airlines85.5%86.0%0.55%5am–8am, Tue—

Success is the share of scheduled flights that operated and arrived less than 15 minutes late, so a cancelled flight counts against it. “(route)” means the best time comes from every carrier on the route rather than this airline alone.

Plan this trip by month, day and time

Departure window

The best time of day to leave

Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 29 points, against 32 points between the best and worst carrier.

  • 5am–8am469 flights77.9%
  • 8am–11am470 flights49.6%
  • 11am–2pm564 flights54.6%
  • 2pm–5pm716 flights65.1%
  • 5pm–8pm556 flights55.1%
  • 8pm–5am329 flights49.1%

Scale runs 40% to 85%.

The 8pm–5am window is where this operation falls apart: 49.1% on time, against 77.9% for the 5am–8am slot. By evening the aircraft flying these rotations have absorbed a full day of small delays and there is no slack left to recover in. The 2pm–5pm window is the busiest, with 716 flights scheduled in it.

Explore

Filter BUR to SFO by airline, time, month and day

Pick a breakdown and a carrier. The dashed mark on each row is the same slice for every US flight.

On BUR to SFO, the best departure window is 5am–8am at 77.9% on time and the worst is 8pm–5am at 49.1%, a wide gap of 28.8 points. All US flights leaving 5am–8am ran 89.3%.

  • 5–8am77.9%
  • 8–11am49.6%
  • 11am–2pm54.6%
  • 2–5pm65.1%
  • 5–8pm55.1%
  • 8pm–5am49.1%

best all US flightsScale 40% to 95%.

Across the year

When delays peak on this route

This route's year swings by 55 points from best month to worst, which is wide. An annual average tells you very little about the week you are actually flying, so read the strip rather than the headline if your dates are fixed.

On-time rate by calendar month77J77F86M46A31M32J42J44A77S71O70N68D
Darker means more delays. Figures are on-time percentages.March best, May worst

Delays peak in May, when the on-time rate falls to 30.9%. March is the strongest month at 85.5%. Moving a flexible trip across that boundary buys 55 points. March was the busiest month here, with 310 flights.

Across the week, Saturday is the strongest day at 73.7% on time and Thursday the weakest at 52.5%, a spread of 21 points.

On-time rate by day of the week57.0Mon70.4Tue57.7Wed52.5Thu53.6Fri73.7Sat54.2Sun
Monday: 57.0 percent on time. Tuesday: 70.4 percent on time. Wednesday: 57.7 percent on time. Thursday: 52.5 percent on time. Friday: 53.6 percent on time. Saturday: 73.7 percent on time. Sunday: 54.2 percent on time

Delay causes

Why this route gets delayed

National Airspace System accounts for 60% of the 86,000 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.

  • National Airspace System
    60%
  • Late-arriving aircraft
    24%
  • Carrier
    13%
  • Extreme weather
    3%

60% of delay minutes are charged to the National Airspace System: air traffic volume, runway configuration, ground stops. No carrier can price its way out of that, which is why airport choice moves the number here more than carrier choice does. That is 52,000 minutes out of 86,000, against a national NAS share of 21%. The split is drawn from 85,905 reported delay minutes.

Cancellations sit at 1.22% against a national 1.89%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 0.19%.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here actually costs

16.5% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum for a connection here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.

At 326 miles this is a short hop, and stage length matters more than it looks. A flight this short spends under two hours in the air, which leaves almost nothing to claw back a late pushback with. Delay here is decided on the ground, in the turn, which is why the 5am–8am window matters as much as it does.

The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 74.9% on time across 3,101 flights, 16 points above this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 16 points of difference.

The sample behind these figures is 3,104 flights, enough that the headline rate is stable to within roughly a point. The hour-block and month splits divide that further, so read the thinner bars with more caution than the headline.

Work out the risk of missing a connection in SFO after this flight

What to do with this

Booking this route

Put together: the calendar is the biggest lever here, not the carrier or the hour. March runs 85.5% on time and May 30.9%, a swing of 55 points. If the dates move at all, move them out of May before you think about anything else. 3,060 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Common questions

BUR to SFO questions

How often is BUR to SFO delayed?

Roughly one flight in two arrives at least 15 minutes late, which is the Department of Transportation's definition of a delayed arrival. That works out to 40.7% of the 3,104 flights in this analysis, against 22.7% nationally. Delayed flights are late by a little over an hour on average.

Which airline is most reliable on BUR to SFO?

SkyWest Airlines leads at 72.7% on time across 928 flights. Southwest Airlines is at the other end on 40.4%, a gap of 32 points. Sample size matters as much as the percentage: a rate built from a few hundred flights moves around far more than one built from ten thousand.

What time of day has the fewest delays on BUR to SFO?

The 5am–8am departure window is the strongest at 77.9% on time. The 8pm–5am window is the weakest at 49.1%, 29 points behind. Later departures inherit delays from earlier flights the same aircraft has already flown, which is why the curve slopes the way it does.

How bad are May delays on BUR to SFO?

May is the weakest month at 30.9% on time, compared with 85.5% in March. Across the year that is 55 points between the best and worst months. Moving flexible dates out of that month is one of the few things that reliably helps.

Related

Where to go next

Direction matters. BUR to SFO and SFO to BUR are scored separately because they are separate operations, with different departure banks and different aircraft. Compare the return leg.

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Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.