Route reliability record
BJI→MSP
Bemidji to Minneapolis
- Flights
- 728
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Distance
- 199 mi
- Carriers
- 1
This route earns an A. More than four flights in five arrive inside the 15-minute window the DOT uses to define an on-time arrival, which puts it 8 points better than the national rate of 77.3%. When something does go wrong the average delay runs close to two hours. That rests on 728 BJI to MSP flights, with a median arrival 16 minutes early.
Set against the rest of the country, this route's record is 8 points better than the US average of 77.3%. That gap is worth roughly 84 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.
Key figures
On time
85.7%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 719 completed flights
Avg delay
114 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
1.10%
National rate is 1.89%
Best carrier
SkyWest
85.7% on time across 728 flights
These figures cover 728 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. The median arrival is 16 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
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Carrier by carrier
Which airline is most reliable on BJI to MSP
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SkyWest Airlines | 728 | 85.7% | 114 min | 1.10% | A |
Flight by flight
Flights on BJI to MSP
The flight numbers below flew this route at least 250 times in the period, busiest first. Each has its own record, with its schedule and delay causes.
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Departure window
The best time of day to leave
Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 728 flights.
- 5am–8am364 flights86.6%
- 8am–11am1 flights—
- 11am–2pm2 flights—
- 2pm–5pm361 flights85.2%
- 5pm–8pm—
- 8pm–5am—
Scale runs 75% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The 5am–8am window is the strongest at 86.6% on time. The full set of windows spans about a point.
Explore
Filter BJI to MSP by airline, time, month and day
Pick a breakdown and a carrier. The dashed mark on each row is the same slice for every US flight.
On BJI to MSP, the best departure window is 5am–8am at 86.6% on time and the worst is 2pm–5pm at 85.2%, a narrow gap of 1.4 points. All US flights leaving 5am–8am ran 89.3%.
- 5–8am86.6%
- 8–11am—
- 11am–2pm—
- 2–5pm85.2%
- 5–8pm—
- 8pm–5am—
best all US flightsScale 60% to 95%. Cells under 30 flights show a dash.
Across the year
When delays peak on this route
This route's year swings by 21 points from best month to worst, which is wide. An annual average tells you very little about the week you are actually flying, so read the strip rather than the headline if your dates are fixed.
December is the weak month at 70.5% on time, against 91.9% in August. Winter delays cluster: a single storm system can account for most of a month's shortfall, so an average December hides both very good weeks and genuinely unflyable days. March was the busiest month here, with 62 flights.
Across the week, Tuesday is the strongest day at 94.1% on time and Friday the weakest at 80.8%, a spread of 13 points.
Delay causes
Why this route gets delayed
Carrier accounts for 74% of the 12,000 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 74%Carrier
- 23%Extreme weather
- 3%National Airspace System
Extreme weather accounts for 23% of delay minutes, well above the single-digit share typical across the system. Weather delays are lumpy: they arrive as whole bad days rather than as a steady drag, so the monthly strip above is the more useful view of the risk. The national share is 6%, so this operation carries roughly 3.8 times the usual weather exposure. The split is drawn from 11,736 reported delay minutes.
The largest share of delay minutes, 74%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. It accounts for 8,679 of the 12,000 delay minutes reported here.
Cancellations sit at 1.10% against a national 1.89%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 0.14%.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here actually costs
7.9% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.3%, so a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last close to two hours, which a normal layover absorbs.
At 199 miles this is a short hop, and stage length matters more than it looks. A flight this short spends under two hours in the air, which leaves almost nothing to claw back a late pushback with. Delay here is decided on the ground, in the turn, which is why the 5am–8am window matters as much as it does.
The return leg runs 84.8% on time across 728 flights, within about a point of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 728 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
Work out the risk of missing a connection in MSP after this flight
What to do with this
Booking this route
Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 728 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 85.7% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 719 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Common questions
BJI to MSP questions
How often is BJI to MSP delayed?
About one flight in seven arrives at least 15 minutes late, which is the Department of Transportation's definition of a delayed arrival. That works out to 14.3% of the 728 flights in this analysis, against 22.7% nationally. Delayed flights are late by close to two hours on average.
How reliable is BJI to MSP compared with the rest of the country?
85.7% of flights arrive on time here against a national 77.3%, a difference of 8 points in its favour. That is worth a A on this site's grading scale.
What time of day has the fewest delays on BJI to MSP?
The 5am–8am departure window is the strongest at 86.6% on time. The 2pm–5pm window is the weakest at 85.2%, about a point behind. Later departures inherit delays from earlier flights the same aircraft has already flown, which is why the curve slopes the way it does.
How bad are December delays on BJI to MSP?
December is the weakest month at 70.5% on time, compared with 91.9% in August. Across the year that is 21 points between the best and worst months. Moving flexible dates out of that month is one of the few things that reliably helps.
Related
Where to go next
- MSP to BJI — the return legseparate record
- Minneapolis-St Paul International (MSP) delay statistics
- ORD to MSP, a related route69.9%
- DEN to MSP, a related route78.5%
- ATL to MSP, a related route79.9%
- SkyWest Airlines on-time record85.7%
- Worst months to fly in the US, ranked by the data
- The best day of the week to fly, and why it is the second lever
Direction matters. BJI to MSP and MSP to BJI are scored separately because they are separate operations, with different departure banks and different aircraft. Compare the return leg.
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Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.