Flight number record

DL 2864

Delta Air Lines · Newark to Minneapolis

Route: EWR → MSP
Departs: 11:47
Flights: 348
Period: July 2025 to June 2026

Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s DL 2864, check with Delta Air Lines.

DL 2864 lands a B−, 4 points better than the national rate of 77.6%. Roughly one flight in five arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by a little over an hour on average. That is a workable record, not a spotless one. That rests on 348 flights, with a median arrival 10 minutes early.

Set against the rest of the country, DL 2864's record is 4 points better than the US average of 77.6%. That gap is worth roughly 40 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.

On time

81.6%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 337 completed flights

Avg delay

77 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

3.16%

National rate is 1.81%

1 hour+ late

6.5%

National rate is 8.1%

These figures cover 348 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. The median arrival is 10 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.

Schedule

When DL 2864 flies

DL 2864 flies EWR to MSP without a single fixed slot. Its most common scheduled departure was 11:47, used on 54 of 348 flights, with 11:55 (53 flights) and 12:00 (45 flights) next. Carriers retime flights through the season, so the rates here blend slightly different positions in the aircraft's day.

Departs 11:4754 flights15.5%
Departs 11:5553 flights15.2%
Departs 12:0045 flights12.9%

Scale runs 0% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Share of scheduled departures at each local time. Times used on fewer than one flight in ten are not listed.

A 11:47 departure sits in the 11am–2pm window. Across every US flight scheduled in that window the on-time rate is 78.8%, and DL 2864 runs 3 points better at 81.6%. Midday slots inherit some of the morning's delays without yet carrying the full weight of the evening's.

Against the route

DL 2864 next to EWR to MSP

Every carrier on EWR to MSP combined arrived on time 78.6% of the time across 2,208 flights, so DL 2864 is 3 points ahead of it. Delta flew 1,260 flights on the same city pair under all its flight numbers, including this one, and those ran 77.8% on time. Across its whole network Delta Air Lines managed 81.6%, close to this flight's figure.

DL 2864 against its route and carrier
Compared with	Flights	On time	Avg delay	Cancelled	Grade
DL 2864thin sample	348	81.6%	77 min	3.16%	B−
All Delta Air Lines on EWR–MSP	1,260	77.8%	116 min	4.05%	B−
All carriers on EWR–MSP	2,208	78.6%	100 min	3.89%	B−
Delta Air Lines, whole network	1,038,570	81.6%	71 min	1.62%	B

Across the year

DL 2864 quarter by quarter

DL 2864 did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Apr–Jun 2026 at 92.0% on time and its weakest Oct–Dec 2025 at 68.2%, a swing of 24 points on roughly 87 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.

Jul–Sep 202590 flights78.9%
Oct–Dec 202587 flights68.2%
Jan–Mar 202682 flights88.0%
Apr–Jun 202689 flights92.0%

Scale runs 60% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

By weekday, DL 2864 did best on Friday at 92.0% on time and worst on Saturday at 69.0%. Each day rests on about 50 flights, so a gap of 23 points is worth noticing but could still narrow in another year.

Delay causes

Why DL 2864 runs late

One category carries most of the weight here. Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 49% of the 4,744 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.

Late-arriving aircraft
49%
Carrier
29%
National Airspace System
20%
Extreme weather
3%

49% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 4,744 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 18 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit. The split is drawn from 4,744 delay minutes reported on DL 2864.

Cancellations run at 3.16%, against 1.81% nationally. That is about one flight in 30 cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.

Connections and routes

What a delay on this flight costs

6.5% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.1%. That is the figure that decides a connection, and it says a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last a little over an hour, which a normal layover absorbs.

The 1,008 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.

DL 2864 is not only a EWR to MSP flight. It also flew MSP to EWR (348 flights, 87.6% on time) often enough to be scored on its own. Airlines attach one number to several legs of an aircraft's day, and each leg keeps its own record here, so check which city pair is on your booking before reading a rate.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 348 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

Other routes flown as DL 2864
Also flown as	Flights	On time	Avg delay	Cancelled	Grade
MSP to EWRthin sample	348	87.6%	71 min	2.59%	A

What to do with this

Booking DL 2864

For a booking, the cancellation rate is the figure to plan around on DL 2864: 3.16% of its 348 scheduled flights did not operate. A late arrival costs a little over an hour, but a cancellation costs the day, so leave a later option open.

Where to go next

A flight number here means Delta Air Lines’s own number as it reports to the DOT. How the figures are computed is on the methodology page.

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.

Key figures