Flight number record
DL 2864
Delta Air Lines · Minneapolis to Newark
- Route
- MSP → EWR
- Departs
- 07:10
- Flights
- 350
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s DL 2864, check with Delta Air Lines.
DL 2864 earns an A. Close to nine flights in ten arrive inside the 15-minute window the DOT uses to define an on-time arrival, which puts it 13 points better than the national rate of 77.3%. When something does go wrong the average delay runs about an hour. That rests on 350 flights, with a median arrival 13 minutes early.
Set against the rest of the country, DL 2864's record is 13 points better than the US average of 77.3%. That gap is worth roughly 127 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.
Key figures
On time
90.0%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 340 completed flights
Avg delay
63 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
2.86%
National rate is 1.89%
1 hour+ late
4.4%
National rate is 8.3%
These figures cover 350 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. The median arrival is 13 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
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Schedule
When DL 2864 flies
DL 2864 flies MSP to EWR without a single fixed slot. Its most common scheduled departure was 07:10, used on 110 of 350 flights, with 07:00 (57 flights) and 06:55 (50 flights) next.
- Departs 07:10110 flights31.4%
- Departs 07:0057 flights16.3%
- Departs 06:5550 flights14.3%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of scheduled departures at each local time. Times used on fewer than one flight in ten are not listed.
A 07:10 departure sits in the 5am–8am window. Across every US flight scheduled in that window the on-time rate is 89.3%, and DL 2864 runs level with that at 90.0%. Early departures usually start with an aircraft that has not flown yet that day, which is most of why the window does well.
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Against the route
DL 2864 next to MSP to EWR
Every carrier on MSP to EWR combined arrived on time 79.5% of the time across 2,225 flights, so DL 2864 is 11 points ahead of it. Delta flew 1,240 flights on the same city pair under all its flight numbers, including this one, and those ran 78.1% on time. Across its whole network Delta Air Lines managed 81.1%, which this flight beats by 9 points.
| Compared with | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DL 2864thin sample | 350 | 90.0% | 63 min | 2.86% | A |
| All Delta Air Lines on MSP–EWR | 1,240 | 78.1% | 68 min | 4.44% | B− |
| All carriers on MSP–EWR | 2,225 | 79.5% | 75 min | 4.63% | B− |
| Delta Air Lines, whole network | 1,039,517 | 81.1% | 71 min | 1.74% | B |
Across the year
DL 2864 quarter by quarter
DL 2864 did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Apr–Jun 2026 at 97.7% on time and its weakest Oct–Dec 2025 at 80.2%, a swing of 18 points on roughly 70 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.
- Jul–Sep 202530 flights93.3%
- Oct–Dec 202587 flights80.2%
- Jan–Mar 202682 flights90.8%
- Apr–Jun 202689 flights97.7%
- Jul–Sep 202662 flights90.2%
Scale runs 70% to 100%.
By weekday, DL 2864 ranged from 85.4% on Sunday to 94.0% on Wednesday. With about 50 flights behind each day, a spread of 9 points is inside normal variation, so the day you fly is not worth changing for this flight.
Arrival by arrival
How late DL 2864 runs when it is late
DL 2864 often beats the schedule: 152 of 340 completed flights, 45%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 34 late arrivals split 12 under half an hour, 7 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 15 an hour or more.
- 15+ min early152 flights44.7%
- Within 15 min154 flights45.3%
- 15–29 min late12 flights3.5%
- 30–59 min late7 flights2.1%
- 1–2 hours late12 flights3.5%
- 2+ hours late3 flights0.9%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 340 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
5 of 27 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 19% of them. 12 flights left on time and still arrived late.
The worst days
Worst days for DL 2864
The latest arrival of the period was on 9 November 2025, 3 hours 21 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as national airspace system delay. On three of the five worst days the largest share was filed as carrier-caused (crew, maintenance, fuelling, baggage).
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 9 November 2025 | 3 hours 21 minutes | National Airspace System |
| 29 November 2025 | 3 hours 20 minutes | Carrier |
| 16 March 2026 | 3 hours 12 minutes | Extreme weather |
| 7 February 2026 | 1 hour 56 minutes | Carrier |
| 5 October 2025 | 1 hour 53 minutes | Carrier |
Delay causes
Why DL 2864 runs late
Carrier accounts for 54% of the 2,157 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 54%Carrier
- 37%National Airspace System
- 9%Extreme weather
The largest share of delay minutes, 54%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. It accounts for 1,167 of the 2,157 delay minutes reported here. The split is drawn from 2,157 delay minutes reported on DL 2864.
Cancellations run at 2.86%, against 1.89% nationally. That is roughly one flight in 30 cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and routes
What a delay on this flight costs
Badly late arrivals are rare here: only 4.4% land an hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Connections built on this flight are about as safe as US domestic connections get, though a cancelled flight still ignores every layover you give it.
The 1,008 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty.
DL 2864 is not only a MSP to EWR flight. It also flew EWR to MSP (350 flights, 82.2% on time) often enough to be scored on its own. Airlines attach one number to several legs of an aircraft's day, and each leg keeps its own record here, so check which city pair is on your booking before reading a rate.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 350 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
| Also flown as | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EWR to MSPthin sample | 350 | 82.2% | 88 min | 3.71% | B− |
What to do with this
Booking DL 2864
For a booking, the cancellation rate is the figure to plan around on DL 2864: 2.86% of its 350 scheduled flights did not operate. A late arrival costs about an hour, but a cancellation costs the day, so leave a later option open.
Related
Where to go next
- MSP to EWR, every carrier and departure
- EWR to MSP, the return direction
- Delta Air Lines 2846 on the same route71.4%
- Minneapolis-St Paul International (MSP) delay statistics
- Newark Liberty International (EWR) delay statistics
- Delta Air Lines on-time record
- Every Delta Air Lines flight number with a record
- The most and least reliable flight numbers in the US
- What a cancellation rate actually tells you (and what it hides)
A flight number here means Delta Air Lines’s own number as it reports to the DOT. How the figures are computed is on the methodology page.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.