Flight number record

AS 419

Alaska Airlines · Orlando to Seattle

Route: MCO → SEA
Departs: 16:39
Flights: 291
Period: July 2025 to June 2026

Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s AS 419, check with Alaska Airlines.

AS 419 sits in the middle of the pack with a B+. Close to three flights in four arrive on time by the DOT's definition, 2 points worse than the national rate of 77.6%. The late ones land an hour and a half behind schedule. That rests on 291 flights, with a median arrival 6 minutes early.

On time

75.7%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 288 completed flights

Avg delay

84 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

0.69%

National rate is 1.81%

1 hour+ late

10.4%

National rate is 8.1%

These figures cover 291 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 10.4% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.

Schedule

When AS 419 flies

AS 419 flies MCO to SEA without a single fixed slot. Its most common scheduled departure was 16:39, used on 94 of 291 flights, with 09:00 (78 flights) and 20:09 (34 flights) next. Carriers retime flights through the season, so the rates here blend slightly different positions in the aircraft's day.

Departs 16:3994 flights32.3%
Departs 09:0078 flights26.8%
Departs 20:0934 flights11.7%

Scale runs 0% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Share of scheduled departures at each local time. Times used on fewer than one flight in ten are not listed.

A 16:39 departure sits in the 2pm–5pm window. Across every US flight scheduled in that window the on-time rate is 72.4%, and AS 419 runs 3 points better at 75.7%. Midday slots inherit some of the morning's delays without yet carrying the full weight of the evening's.

Against the route

AS 419 next to MCO to SEA

Every carrier on MCO to SEA combined arrived on time 76.5% of the time across 1,822 flights, so AS 419 is about level with it. Alaska flew 1,103 flights on the same city pair under all its flight numbers, including this one, and those ran 77.4% on time. Across its whole network Alaska Airlines managed 79.1%, which this flight trails by 3 points.

AS 419 against its route and carrier
Compared with	Flights	On time	Avg delay	Cancelled	Grade
AS 419thin sample	291	75.7%	84 min	0.69%	B+
All Alaska Airlines on MCO–SEA	1,103	77.4%	57 min	0.73%	B+
All carriers on MCO–SEA	1,822	76.5%	61 min	1.04%	B
Alaska Airlines, whole network	293,372	79.1%	52 min	1.28%	B

Across the year

AS 419 quarter by quarter

AS 419 did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Oct–Dec 2025 at 82.6% on time and its weakest Jul–Sep 2025 at 65.9%, a swing of 17 points on roughly 73 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.

Jul–Sep 202591 flights65.9%
Oct–Dec 202569 flights82.6%
Jan–Mar 202689 flights79.1%
Apr–Jun 202642 flights78.6%

Scale runs 55% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

By weekday, AS 419 ranged from 70.7% on Saturday to 82.5% on Sunday. With about 42 flights behind each day, a spread of 12 points is inside normal variation, so the day you fly is not worth changing for this flight.

Delay causes

Why AS 419 runs late

Carriers report a reason for every delay minute they cause, in five DOT categories. The split below is by minutes, not by number of flights, so a handful of very long weather delays weighs as much as many short ones. It covers 5,861 reported delay minutes.

Carrier
39%
Late-arriving aircraft
26%
National Airspace System
19%
Extreme weather
16%

Extreme weather accounts for 16% of delay minutes, well above the single-digit share typical across the system. Weather delays are lumpy: they arrive as whole bad days rather than as a steady drag, so the quarterly figures above are the more useful view of the risk. The national share is 6%, so this operation carries roughly 2.6 times the usual weather exposure. The split is drawn from 5,861 delay minutes reported on AS 419.

Cancellations are rare at 0.69%, below the national 1.81% and low enough to earn the plus on the grade. Roughly one flight in 100 is called off; the risk here is arriving late, not not arriving.

Connections and routes

What a delay on this flight costs

For anyone connecting, the number to weigh is not the on-time rate but the tail behind it. 10.4% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. A 45-minute layover does not survive that, and no amount of walking quickly changes it. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.

At 2,554 miles this is transcontinental flying, and long routes get a quiet structural advantage. Scheduled block time on a flight this length carries more padding in absolute minutes, so a twenty-minute late departure often still becomes an on-time arrival. Read the on-time rate here as slightly flattering next to a short-haul route with the same operational quality.

Every one of the 291 flights under AS 419 in the data flew MCO to SEA. The number was not reused on any other city pair, which makes this a clean record of one route.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 291 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking AS 419

For a booking, read AS 419 as 75.7% on time with 0.69% cancelled over 291 flights. Those are rates from the past twelve months, not a forecast for any particular day.

Where to go next

A flight number here means Alaska Airlines’s own number as it reports to the DOT. How the figures are computed is on the methodology page.

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.

Key figures