Carrier route record
ASSFO→MCO
Alaska Airlines · San Francisco to Orlando
- Flights
- 278
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
- Share of route
- 20%
- Carriers
- 2
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Alaska Airlines.
Alaska on SFO to MCO lands a B+, 6 points better than the national rate of 77.3%. About one flight in six arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by roughly 50 minutes on average. That rests on 278 flights, with a median arrival 11 minutes early.
Set against the rest of the country, Alaska's SFO to MCO record is 6 points better than the US average of 77.3%. That gap is worth roughly 63 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.
Key figures
On time
83.6%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 274 completed flights
Avg delay
51 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
0.72%
National rate is 1.89%
Whole route
86.0%
Every carrier on SFO to MCO, 1,376 flights
These figures cover 278 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. The median arrival is 11 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
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Carrier by carrier
Alaska against every carrier on SFO to MCO
Alaska flew 278 of the 1,376 flights on SFO to MCO, about 20% of it. Its 83.6% on time is 2 points worse than the route as a whole, which runs 86.0%. Ranked by on-time rate it is last of two carriers on the route, where the range runs from United at 86.6% to Alaska at 83.6%.
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Airlines | 1,098 | 86.6% | 50 min | 0.18% | A+ |
| Alaska Airlines (this page)thin sample | 278 | 83.6% | 51 min | 0.72% | B+ |
Flight by flight
Alaska flight numbers on SFO to MCO
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Departure window
When Alaska runs best on this route
Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 11 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier.
- 5am–8am89 flights94.2%
- 8am–11am162 flights83.2%
- 11am–2pm—
- 2pm–5pm—
- 5pm–8pm—
- 8pm–5am27 flights—
Scale runs 75% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Book the early departure. Flights leaving between 5am–8am arrive on time 94.2% of the time, against 83.2% for the morning window. That is 11 points of difference for no extra money, and it comes from the same aircraft having had no earlier flight to fall behind on. The 8am–11am window is the busiest, with 162 flights scheduled in it.
Across the year
Alaska on SFO to MCO through the year
- Jul–Sep 202530 flights—
- Oct–Dec 2025111 flights81.8%
- Jan–Mar 202695 flights84.9%
- Apr–Jun 202642 flights76.2%
Scale runs 70% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 83.6% on time across 278 flights.
Quarter by quarter Alaska on SFO to MCO held fairly steady: 81.8% in Oct–Dec 2025, 84.9% in Jan–Mar 2026 and 76.2% in Apr–Jun 2026. A spread of 9 points is about what a sample of this size moves on its own, so the annual figure is a fair summary.
Across the week, Wednesday is the strongest day at 92.1% on time and Monday the weakest at 78.0%, a spread of 14 points.
Arrival by arrival
How late Alaska on SFO to MCO runs when it is late
Alaska on SFO to MCO often beats the schedule: 122 of 274 completed flights, 45%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 45 late arrivals split 20 under half an hour, 15 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 10 an hour or more.
- 15+ min early122 flights44.5%
- Within 15 min107 flights39.1%
- 15–29 min late20 flights7.3%
- 30–59 min late15 flights5.5%
- 1–2 hours late5 flights1.8%
- 2+ hours late5 flights1.8%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 274 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
9 of 41 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 22% of them. 13 flights left on time and still arrived late.
The worst days
Worst days for Alaska on SFO to MCO
The latest arrival of the period was on 11 May 2026, 3 hours 8 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as carrier-caused (crew, maintenance, fuelling, baggage). The same cause led on five of the five worst days.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 11 May 2026 | 3 hours 8 minutes | Carrier |
| 3 January 2026 | 3 hours 2 minutes | Carrier |
| 25 October 2025 | 2 hours 55 minutes | Carrier |
| 4 April 2026 | 2 hours 37 minutes | Carrier |
| 3 January 2026 | 2 hours 25 minutes | Carrier |
Delay causes
Why Alaska runs late on this route
Carrier accounts for 50% of the 2,307 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 50%Carrier
- 31%National Airspace System
- 19%Late-arriving aircraft
The largest share of delay minutes, 50%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. It accounts for 1,148 of the 2,307 delay minutes reported here. The split is drawn from 2,307 reported delay minutes.
Cancellations are rare at 0.72%, below the national 1.89% and low enough to earn the plus on the grade. Roughly one flight in 100 is called off; the risk here is arriving late, not not arriving.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
Badly late arrivals are rare here: only 3.6% land an hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Connections built on this flight are about as safe as US domestic connections get, though a cancelled flight still ignores every layover you give it.
At 2,446 miles this is transcontinental flying, and long routes get a quiet structural advantage. Scheduled block time on a flight this length carries more padding in absolute minutes, so a twenty-minute late departure often still becomes an on-time arrival. Read the on-time rate here as slightly flattering next to a short-haul route with the same operational quality.
The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 72.5% on time across 278 flights, 11 points below this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 11 points of difference.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 278 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Alaska on SFO to MCO
Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 278 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 83.6% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 274 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- SFO to MCO, every carrier
- Alaska on MCO to SFO, the return leg
- United Airlines on SFO to MCO86.6%
- Alaska Airlines network-wide record
- San Francisco International (SFO) delay statistics
- Orlando International (MCO) delay statistics
- The best time of day to fly, according to 7.05 million flight records
- The best day of the week to fly, and why it is the second lever
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.