Carrier route record

WNSFO→BNA

Southwest Airlines · San Francisco to Nashville

Flights: 311
Period: July 2025 to June 2026
Share of route: 27%
Carriers: 2

Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Southwest Airlines.

Southwest on SFO to BNA earns a D+, which is as low as this site's scale goes for a reason. Only 57.6% of flights arrive inside the 15-minute window, 20 points worse than the national rate of 77.6%. Late arrivals average about 50 minutes. Treat any tight connection here as a coin flip. That rests on 311 flights, with a median arrival 9 minutes late.

The national on-time rate over the same period is 77.6%, so Southwest on SFO to BNA runs 20 points behind the country as a whole. Across a thousand flights that is about 200 extra late arrivals.

On time

57.6%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 309 completed flights

Avg delay

50 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

0.32%

National rate is 1.81%

Whole route

73.9%

Every carrier on SFO to BNA, 1,162 flights

These figures cover 311 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 13.3% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.

Carrier by carrier

Southwest against every carrier on SFO to BNA

Southwest flew 311 of the 1,162 flights on SFO to BNA, about 27% of it. Its 57.6% on time is 16 points worse than the route as a whole, which runs 73.9%. Ranked by on-time rate it is last of two carriers on the route, where the range runs from United at 79.9% to Southwest at 57.6%.

Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.

On-time performance by carrier on SFO to BNA
Airline	Flights	On time	Avg delay	Cancelled	Grade
United Airlines	851	79.9%	53 min	0.71%	B+
Southwest Airlines (this page)thin sample	311	57.6%	50 min	0.32%	D+

Departure window

When Southwest runs best on this route

Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 13 points, against half a point between the best and worst carrier. Each bar is the on-time rate for flights scheduled inside that window.

5am–8am10 flights—
8am–11am105 flights48.1%
11am–2pm43 flights60.5%
2pm–5pm—
5pm–8pm—
8pm–5am153 flights60.8%

Scale runs 40% to 65%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

The 8pm–5am window is the strongest at 60.8% on time. The full set of windows spans 13 points.

Across the year

Southwest on SFO to BNA through the year

Jul–Sep 202591 flights46.2%
Oct–Dec 202568 flights55.2%
Jan–Mar 202661 flights80.0%
Apr–Jun 202691 flights56.0%

Scale runs 40% to 85%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 57.6% on time across 311 flights.

Southwest on SFO to BNA did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Jan–Mar 2026 at 80.0% on time and its weakest Jul–Sep 2025 at 46.2%, a swing of 34 points on roughly 78 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.

Across the week, Saturday is the strongest day at 86.3% on time and Sunday the weakest at 42.9%. 43 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.

Delay causes

Why Southwest runs late on this route

One category carries most of the weight here. Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 69% of the 6,524 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.

Late-arriving aircraft
69%
Carrier
17%
National Airspace System
14%

69% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 6,524 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 69 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit. The split is drawn from 6,524 reported delay minutes.

Cancellations are rare at 0.32%, below the national 1.81% and low enough to earn the plus on the grade. Roughly one flight in 100 is called off; the risk here is arriving late, not not arriving.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

For anyone connecting, the number to weigh is not the on-time rate but the tail behind it. 13.3% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. A 45-minute layover does not survive that, and no amount of walking quickly changes it. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.

At 1,969 miles this is transcontinental flying, and long routes get a quiet structural advantage. Scheduled block time on a flight this length carries more padding in absolute minutes, so a twenty-minute late departure often still becomes an on-time arrival. Read the on-time rate here as slightly flattering next to a short-haul route with the same operational quality.

The return leg runs 55.2% on time across 311 flights, within 2 points of this direction. The two legs are scored separately because they usually differ; on this city pair they happen not to.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 311 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking Southwest on SFO to BNA

Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 311 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 57.6% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 309 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.

Key figures