Carrier route record
F9PHX→MCO
Frontier Airlines · Phoenix to Orlando
- Flights
- 195
- Period
- July 2025 to June 2026
- Share of route
- 11%
- Carriers
- 3
Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Frontier Airlines.
Frontier on PHX to MCO lands a B, about a point worse than the national rate of 77.6%. About one flight in four arrives 15 minutes late or worse, and those flights are late by about an hour on average. That is a workable record, not a spotless one. That rests on 195 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, Southwest Airlines, flew 856 at 76.8% on time.
The US average over the same twelve months is 77.6%, so there is little to separate Frontier on PHX to MCO from the country as a whole. The variation that matters here is internal: which carrier, and what time of day.
Key figures
On time
76.4%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 191 completed flights
Avg delay
66 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
1.54%
National rate is 1.81%
Whole route
75.4%
Every carrier on PHX to MCO, 1,843 flights
These figures cover 195 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. On-time means an arrival less than 15 minutes after the scheduled gate time, the same threshold the Department of Transportation uses in its own reports. Cancelled and diverted flights are excluded from the on-time rate and counted separately, which is why the cancellation column matters on its own.
Carrier by carrier
Frontier against every carrier on PHX to MCO
Frontier flew 195 of the 1,843 flights on PHX to MCO, about 11% of it. Its 76.4% on time is about level with the route as a whole at 75.4%. Ranked by on-time rate it is number two of three carriers on the route, where the range runs from Southwest at 76.8% to American at 73.7%.
The two carriers here are closely matched: 3 points separate the best from the worst. At that spread, schedule and price are better tie-breakers than reliability. Sample sizes are shown so you can see which rows are worth weighing.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Airlines | 856 | 76.8% | 43 min | 0.58% | B+ |
| Frontier Airlines (this page)thin sample | 195 | 76.4% | 66 min | 1.54% | B |
| American Airlines | 792 | 73.7% | 56 min | 0.63% | C+ |
No carrier stands out. Southwest tops the table at 76.8%, 3 points clear of the bottom, which is inside the range this kind of sample moves year to year.
Departure window
When Frontier runs best on this route
Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 195 flights.
- 5am–8am—
- 8am–11am—
- 11am–2pm—
- 2pm–5pm—
- 5pm–8pm35 flights70.6%
- 8pm–5am160 flights77.7%
Scale runs 60% to 85%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
The 8pm–5am window is the strongest at 77.7% on time. The full set of windows spans 7 points.
Across the year
Frontier on PHX to MCO through the year
- Jul–Sep 202535 flights70.6%
- Oct–Dec 202545 flights77.8%
- Jan–Mar 202655 flights75.0%
- Apr–Jun 202660 flights80.0%
Scale runs 60% to 85%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 76.4% on time across 195 flights.
Quarter by quarter Frontier on PHX to MCO held fairly steady: 70.6% in Jul–Sep 2025, 77.8% in Oct–Dec 2025, 75.0% in Jan–Mar 2026 and 80.0% in Apr–Jun 2026. A spread of 9 points is about what a sample of this size moves on its own, so the annual figure is a fair summary.
Across the week, Thursday is the strongest day at 77.4% on time and Saturday the weakest at 60.0%. 17 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.
Delay causes
Why Frontier runs late on this route
One category carries most of the weight here. Carrier accounts for 58% of the 2,965 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.
- 58%Carrier
- 33%Late-arriving aircraft
- 9%National Airspace System
The largest share of delay minutes, 58%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. Unlike weather, that is a management outcome, and it is the category where the gap between two carriers on the same schedule is genuinely earned. It accounts for 1,715 of the 2,965 delay minutes reported here. The split is drawn from 2,965 reported delay minutes.
Cancellations sit at 1.54% against a national 1.81%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 0.51%.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
5.8% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.1%. That is the figure that decides a connection, and it says a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last about an hour, which a normal layover absorbs.
At 1,849 miles this is transcontinental flying, and long routes get a quiet structural advantage. Scheduled block time on a flight this length carries more padding in absolute minutes, so a twenty-minute late departure often still becomes an on-time arrival. Read the on-time rate here as slightly flattering next to a short-haul route with the same operational quality.
The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 81.8% on time across 194 flights, 5 points above this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 5 points of difference.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 195 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking Frontier on PHX to MCO
Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 195 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 76.4% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 191 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- PHX to MCO, every carrier
- Frontier on MCO to PHX, the return leg
- Southwest Airlines on PHX to MCO76.8%
- American Airlines on PHX to MCO73.7%
- Frontier Airlines network-wide record
- Phoenix Sky Harbor International (PHX) delay statistics
- Orlando International (MCO) delay statistics
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
- How to read this site: grades, sample sizes, and honest caveats
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.