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DelayAtlas

Carrier route record

OOORDBNA

SkyWest Airlines · Chicago to Nashville

Flights
1,467
Period
July 2025 to June 2026
Share of route
29%
Carriers
9
D−GRADE

Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with SkyWest Airlines.

SkyWest on ORD to BNA carries a cancellation problem, not just a delay problem: 3.9% of scheduled flights never operate, against 1.8% nationally. Of the ones that do fly, a little over half of flights arrive on time, worth a D− overall. The punctuality figure counts only flights that actually departed, so it flatters an operation that cancels this often. That rests on 1,467 flights. The strongest carrier on the route with a full sample, Republic Airways, flew 560 at 76.6% on time.

Republic Airways is the most reliable of the four carriers covered here at 76.6% on time across 560 flights.

Key figures

On time

61.0%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 1,406 completed flights

Avg delay

89 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

3.89%

National rate is 1.81%

Whole route

68.6%

Every carrier on ORD to BNA, 5,021 flights

These figures cover 1,467 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 19.4% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.

Carrier by carrier

SkyWest against every carrier on ORD to BNA

SkyWest flew 1,467 of the 5,021 flights on ORD to BNA, about 29% of it. Its 61.0% on time is 8 points worse than the route as a whole, which runs 68.6%. Ranked by on-time rate it is last of nine carriers on the route, where the range runs from PSA at 100.0% to SkyWest at 61.0%. Four of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.

The choice of carrier is not cosmetic here. Republic Airways arrives on time 76.6% of the time; American Airlines manages 63.8%. Sample sizes sit next to every figure, because a two-point gap across 382 flights means less than a ten-point one.

On-time performance by carrier on ORD to BNA
AirlineFlightsOn timeAvg delayCancelledGrade
PSA Airlinesthin sample3100.0%0.00%A+
Republic Airways56076.6%56 min1.43%B
Envoy Air78374.8%60 min3.19%C−
Frontier Airlinesthin sample8171.8%71 min3.70%C−
Southwest Airlinesthin sample33870.7%60 min1.18%C
United Airlines1,38170.4%74 min1.67%C
Spirit Airlinesthin sample2669.2%32 min0.00%C+
American Airlines38263.8%116 min1.83%D
SkyWest Airlines (this page)1,46761.0%89 min3.89%D−

Envoy Air cancels 3.2% of what it schedules here, the highest in the table. A cancelled flight never appears in an on-time rate, so read that column alongside the punctuality one rather than after it.

Departure window

When SkyWest runs best on this route

Departure time matters more here than the choice of carrier. The gap between the best and worst window is 31 points, against 13 points between the best and worst carrier. Each bar is the on-time rate for flights scheduled inside that window.

  • 5am–8am247 flights77.5%
  • 8am–11am67 flights69.7%
  • 11am–2pm235 flights57.8%
  • 2pm–5pm178 flights61.7%
  • 5pm–8pm230 flights46.3%
  • 8pm–5am510 flights59.4%

Scale runs 40% to 85%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

The 5pm–8pm window is where this operation falls apart: 46.3% on time, against 77.5% for the 5am–8am slot. By evening the aircraft flying these rotations have absorbed a full day of small delays and there is no slack left to recover in. The 8pm–5am window is the busiest, with 510 flights scheduled in it.

Across the year

SkyWest on ORD to BNA through the year

On-time rate by calendar month61J62F54M79A81M50J52J70A70S48O72N43D
Darker means more delays. Figures are on-time percentages.May best, December worst

December is the weak month at 42.6% on time, against 80.5% in May. Winter delays cluster: a single storm system can account for most of a month's shortfall, so an average December hides both very good weeks and genuinely unflyable days. March was the busiest month here, with 173 flights.

Across the week, Tuesday is the strongest day at 66.5% on time and Sunday the weakest at 54.4%. 12 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.

On-time rate by day of the week58.0Mon66.5Tue61.9Wed61.9Thu59.4Fri66.1Sat54.4Sun
Monday: 58.0 percent on time. Tuesday: 66.5 percent on time. Wednesday: 61.9 percent on time. Thursday: 61.9 percent on time. Friday: 59.4 percent on time. Saturday: 66.1 percent on time. Sunday: 54.4 percent on time

Delay causes

Why SkyWest runs late on this route

Carriers report a reason for every delay minute they cause, in five DOT categories. The split below is by minutes, not by number of flights, so a handful of very long weather delays weighs as much as many short ones. It covers 49,000 reported delay minutes.

  • Carrier
    38%
  • Late-arriving aircraft
    23%
  • Extreme weather
    20%
  • National Airspace System
    19%

Extreme weather accounts for 20% of delay minutes, well above the single-digit share typical across the system. Weather delays are lumpy: they arrive as whole bad days rather than as a steady drag, so the monthly strip above is the more useful view of the risk. The national share is 6%, so this operation carries roughly 3.2 times the usual weather exposure. The split is drawn from 48,788 reported delay minutes.

The largest share of delay minutes, 38%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. Unlike weather, that is a management outcome, and it is the category where the gap between two carriers on the same schedule is genuinely earned. It accounts for 18,000 of the 49,000 delay minutes reported here.

Cancellations run at 3.89%, against 1.81% nationally. That is about one flight in 25 cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

For anyone connecting, the number to weigh is not the on-time rate but the tail behind it. 19.4% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. A 45-minute layover does not survive that, and no amount of walking quickly changes it. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.

At 409 miles this is a short hop, and stage length matters more than it looks. A flight this short spends under two hours in the air, which leaves almost nothing to claw back a late pushback with. Delay here is decided on the ground, in the turn, which is why the 5am–8am window matters as much as it does.

The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 65.9% on time across 1,467 flights, 5 points above this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 5 points of difference.

The sample behind these figures is 1,467 flights, enough that the headline rate is stable to within roughly a point. The hour-block and month splits divide that further, so read the thinner bars with more caution than the headline.

What to do with this

Booking SkyWest on ORD to BNA

Put together: the delay figures matter less here than the 3.89% cancellation rate. A late arrival costs you an hour and a half; a cancelled flight costs you the day. Book the 5am–8am departure so there is still a schedule behind you if it goes wrong, and treat a same-day connection as optimistic. 1,406 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Related

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.