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DelayAtlas

Carrier route record

DLBUFDTW

Delta Air Lines · Buffalo to Detroit

Flights
443
Period
July 2025 to June 2026
Share of route
41%
Carriers
3
BGRADE

Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with Delta Air Lines.

Delta on BUF to DTW earns a B. More than four flights in five arrive inside the 15-minute window the DOT uses to define an on-time arrival, which puts it 7 points better than the national rate of 77.6%. When something does go wrong the average delay runs close to two hours. That rests on 443 flights, with a median arrival 10 minutes early.

Set against the rest of the country, Delta's BUF to DTW record is 7 points better than the US average of 77.6%. That gap is worth roughly 65 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.

Key figures

On time

84.1%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 435 completed flights

Avg delay

108 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

1.81%

National rate is 1.81%

Whole route

81.5%

Every carrier on BUF to DTW, 1,091 flights

These figures cover 443 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. The median arrival is 10 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.

Carrier by carrier

Delta against every carrier on BUF to DTW

Delta flew 443 of the 1,091 flights on BUF to DTW, about 41% of it. Its 84.1% on time is 3 points better than the route as a whole, which runs 81.5%. Ranked by on-time rate it is first of three carriers on the route, where the range runs from Delta at 84.1% to SkyWest at 79.7%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.

Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.

On-time performance by carrier on BUF to DTW
AirlineFlightsOn timeAvg delayCancelledGrade
Delta Air Lines (this page)44384.1%108 min1.81%B
Republic Airwaysthin sample783.3%28 min14.29%B−
SkyWest Airlines64179.7%116 min1.56%B

Flight by flight

Delta flight numbers on BUF to DTW

Departure window

When Delta runs best on this route

Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 443 flights.

  • 5am–8am362 flights84.6%
  • 8am–11am
  • 11am–2pm21 flights
  • 2pm–5pm
  • 5pm–8pm60 flights82.5%
  • 8pm–5am

Scale runs 75% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

The 5am–8am window is the strongest at 84.6% on time. The full set of windows spans 2 points.

Across the year

Delta on BUF to DTW through the year

On-time rate by calendar month73J76F81M89A91MJ94J87A100SON58D
Darker means more delays. Figures are on-time percentages.September best, December worst

December is the weak month at 58.1% on time, against 100.0% in September. Winter delays cluster: a single storm system can account for most of a month's shortfall, so an average December hides both very good weeks and genuinely unflyable days. January was the busiest month here, with 56 flights.

Across the week, Saturday is the strongest day at 91.4% on time and Thursday the weakest at 75.0%. 16 points is a smaller lever than departure hour, but it is free.

On-time rate by day of the week85.2Mon83.1Tue86.2Wed75.0Thu86.9Fri91.4Sat82.0Sun
Monday: 85.2 percent on time. Tuesday: 83.1 percent on time. Wednesday: 86.2 percent on time. Thursday: 75.0 percent on time. Friday: 86.9 percent on time. Saturday: 91.4 percent on time. Sunday: 82.0 percent on time

Delay causes

Why Delta runs late on this route

One category carries most of the weight here. Carrier accounts for 56% of the 7,460 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.

  • Carrier
    56%
  • National Airspace System
    22%
  • Late-arriving aircraft
    20%
  • Extreme weather
    3%

The largest share of delay minutes, 56%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. Unlike weather, that is a management outcome, and it is the category where the gap between two carriers on the same schedule is genuinely earned. It accounts for 4,201 of the 7,460 delay minutes reported here. The split is drawn from 7,460 reported delay minutes.

Cancellations sit at 1.81% against a national 1.81%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 0.00%.

Connections and stage length

What a delay here costs

6.9% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.1%. That is the figure that decides a connection, and it says a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last close to two hours, which a normal layover absorbs.

At 241 miles this is a short hop, and stage length matters more than it looks. A flight this short spends under two hours in the air, which leaves almost nothing to claw back a late pushback with. Delay here is decided on the ground, in the turn, which is why the 5am–8am window matters as much as it does.

The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 78.1% on time across 443 flights, 6 points below this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 6 points of difference.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 443 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking Delta on BUF to DTW

Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 443 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 84.1% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 435 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.

Related

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.