Flight number record
YX 3415
Republic Airways · Rochester to Newark
- Route
- ROC → EWR
- Departs
- 14:12
- Flights
- 265
- Period
- July 2025 to June 2026
Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s YX 3415, check with Republic Airways. Republic Airways flies under contract for larger airlines, so a ticket for this flight may show a different airline code and number.
YX 3415 sits in the middle of the pack with a C−. Close to three flights in four arrive on time by the DOT's definition, 4 points worse than the national rate of 77.6%. The late ones land a little over an hour behind schedule. That rests on 265 flights, with a median arrival 11 minutes early.
The national on-time rate over the same period is 77.6%, so YX 3415 runs 4 points behind the country as a whole. Across a thousand flights that is about 40 extra late arrivals.
Key figures
On time
73.6%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 242 completed flights
Avg delay
68 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
8.68%
National rate is 1.81%
1 hour+ late
9.9%
National rate is 8.1%
These figures cover 265 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 9.9% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.
Schedule
When YX 3415 flies
YX 3415 flies ROC to EWR without a single fixed slot. Its most common scheduled departure was 14:12, used on 46 of 265 flights, with 14:20 (37 flights) and 14:40 (35 flights) next. Carriers retime flights through the season, so the rates here blend slightly different positions in the aircraft's day.
- Departs 14:1246 flights17.4%
- Departs 14:2037 flights14.0%
- Departs 14:4035 flights13.2%
Scale runs 0% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Share of scheduled departures at each local time. Times used on fewer than one flight in ten are not listed.
A 14:12 departure sits in the 2pm–5pm window. Across every US flight scheduled in that window the on-time rate is 72.4%, and YX 3415 runs level with that at 73.6%. Midday slots inherit some of the morning's delays without yet carrying the full weight of the evening's.
Against the route
YX 3415 next to ROC to EWR
Every carrier on ROC to EWR combined arrived on time 81.3% of the time across 596 flights, so YX 3415 is 8 points behind it. Republic flew 567 flights on the same city pair under all its flight numbers, including this one, and those ran 81.6% on time. Across its whole network Republic Airways managed 78.5%, which this flight trails by 5 points.
| Compared with | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YX 3415thin sample | 265 | 73.6% | 68 min | 8.68% | C− |
| All Republic Airways on ROC–EWR | 567 | 81.6% | 77 min | 6.00% | B− |
| All carriers on ROC–EWR | 596 | 81.3% | 80 min | 5.70% | B− |
| Republic Airways, whole network | 361,482 | 78.5% | 72 min | 4.08% | B− |
Across the year
YX 3415 quarter by quarter
YX 3415 did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Apr–Jun 2026 at 90.0% on time and its weakest Jul–Sep 2025 at 65.2%, a swing of 25 points on roughly 66 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.
- Jul–Sep 202579 flights65.2%
- Oct–Dec 202551 flights68.9%
- Jan–Mar 202685 flights73.1%
- Apr–Jun 202650 flights90.0%
Scale runs 55% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
By weekday, YX 3415 did best on Thursday at 81.8% on time and worst on Friday at 62.2%. Each day rests on about 38 flights, so a gap of 20 points is worth noticing but could still narrow in another year.
Delay causes
Why YX 3415 runs late
One category carries most of the weight here. Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 49% of the 4,358 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.
- 49%Late-arriving aircraft
- 34%National Airspace System
- 17%Carrier
- 0%Extreme weather
49% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 4,358 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 49 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit. The split is drawn from 4,358 delay minutes reported on YX 3415.
Cancellations run at 8.68%, against 1.81% nationally. That is about one flight in twelve cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.
Connections and routes
What a delay on this flight costs
For anyone connecting, the number to weigh is not the on-time rate but the tail behind it. 9.9% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. A 45-minute layover does not survive that, and no amount of walking quickly changes it. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.
The same number turns up on seven other city pairs in the data, including EWR to SDF (73), RIC to EWR (41) and PWM to IAD (23), but none flew often enough under YX 3415 to report a rate for. Carriers move flight numbers between routes, so the figures on this page apply to ROC to EWR only.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 265 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking YX 3415
For a booking, the cancellation rate is the figure to plan around on YX 3415: 8.68% of its 265 scheduled flights did not operate. A late arrival costs a little over an hour, but a cancellation costs the day, so leave a later option open.
Related
Where to go next
- Newark Liberty International (EWR) delay statistics
- Republic Airways on-time record
- Every Republic Airways flight number with a record
- The most and least reliable flight numbers in the US
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
A flight number here means Republic Airways’s own number as it reports to the DOT. How the figures are computed is on the methodology page.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.