Flight number record
AS 569
Alaska Airlines · New Orleans to Seattle
- Route
- MSY → SEA
- Departs
- 17:19
- Flights
- 308
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s AS 569, check with Alaska Airlines.
AS 569 sits in the middle of the pack with a C. About seven flights in ten arrive on time by the DOT's definition, 7 points worse than the national rate of 77.3%. The late ones land about an hour behind schedule. That rests on 308 flights, with a median arrival 2 minutes late.
The national on-time rate over the same period is 77.3%, so AS 569 runs 7 points behind the country as a whole. Across a thousand flights that is about 66 extra late arrivals.
Key figures
On time
70.7%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 304 completed flights
Avg delay
58 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
1.30%
National rate is 1.89%
1 hour+ late
7.9%
National rate is 8.3%
These figures cover 308 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. On-time means an arrival less than 15 minutes after the scheduled gate time, the same threshold the Department of Transportation uses in its own reports. Cancelled and diverted flights are excluded from the on-time rate and counted separately, which is why the cancellation column matters on its own.
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Schedule
When AS 569 flies
AS 569 flies MSY to SEA without a single fixed slot. Its most common scheduled departure was 17:19, used on 93 of 308 flights, with 18:47 (36 flights) next.
- Departs 17:1993 flights30.2%
- Departs 18:4736 flights11.7%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of scheduled departures at each local time. Times used on fewer than one flight in ten are not listed.
A 17:19 departure sits in the 5pm–8pm window. Across every US flight scheduled in that window the on-time rate is 68.0%, and AS 569 runs 3 points better at 70.7%. By that time of day most aircraft have flown several legs already, and whatever went wrong earlier is still in the schedule.
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Against the route
AS 569 next to MSY to SEA
Every carrier on MSY to SEA combined arrived on time 72.4% of the time across 619 flights, so AS 569 is 2 points behind it. Alaska flew 614 flights on the same city pair under all its flight numbers, including this one, and those ran 72.2% on time. Across its whole network Alaska Airlines managed 79.7%, which this flight trails by 9 points.
| Compared with | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS 569thin sample | 308 | 70.7% | 58 min | 1.30% | C |
| All Alaska Airlines on MSY–SEA | 614 | 72.2% | 54 min | 0.81% | C+ |
| All carriers on MSY–SEA | 619 | 72.4% | 54 min | 0.81% | C+ |
| Alaska Airlines, whole network | 309,844 | 79.7% | 52 min | 1.20% | B |
Across the year
AS 569 quarter by quarter
AS 569 did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Jan–Mar 2026 at 83.6% on time and its weakest Oct–Dec 2025 at 61.6%, a swing of 22 points on roughly 77 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.
- Jul–Sep 202526 flights—
- Oct–Dec 202575 flights61.6%
- Jan–Mar 202655 flights83.6%
- Apr–Jun 202691 flights73.3%
- Jul–Sep 202661 flights65.6%
Scale runs 55% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
By weekday, AS 569 ranged from 64.4% on Friday to 76.2% on Wednesday. With about 44 flights behind each day, a spread of 12 points is inside normal variation, so the day you fly is not worth changing for this flight.
Arrival by arrival
How late AS 569 runs when it is late
The 89 late arrivals split 30 under half an hour, 35 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 24 an hour or more.
- 15+ min early59 flights19.4%
- Within 15 min156 flights51.3%
- 15–29 min late30 flights9.9%
- 30–59 min late35 flights11.5%
- 1–2 hours late15 flights4.9%
- 2+ hours late9 flights3.0%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 304 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
23 of 97 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 24% of them. 15 flights left on time and still arrived late.
The worst days
Worst days for AS 569
The latest arrival of the period was on 23 October 2025, 7 hours 1 minute behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as carrier-caused (crew, maintenance, fuelling, baggage). The same cause led on three of the five worst days.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 23 October 2025 | 7 hours 1 minute | Carrier |
| 29 April 2026 | 3 hours 26 minutes | Carrier |
| 29 March 2026 | 3 hours 9 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 30 July 2026 | 2 hours 53 minutes | Carrier |
| 24 November 2025 | 2 hours 47 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
Delay causes
Why AS 569 runs late
Carriers report a reason for every delay minute they cause, in five DOT categories. The split below is by minutes, not by number of flights, so a handful of very long weather delays weighs as much as many short ones. It covers 5,174 reported delay minutes.
- 39%Late-arriving aircraft
- 37%Carrier
- 21%National Airspace System
- 2%Extreme weather
- 0%Security
39% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. Across 5,174 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 18 to one. The split is drawn from 5,174 delay minutes reported on AS 569.
Cancellations sit at 1.30% against a national 1.89%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 0.00%.
Connections and routes
What a delay on this flight costs
7.9% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.3%, so a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last about an hour, which a normal layover absorbs.
At 2,086 miles this is transcontinental flying, and long routes get a quiet structural advantage. Scheduled block time on a flight this length carries more padding in absolute minutes, so a twenty-minute late departure often still becomes an on-time arrival. Read the on-time rate here as slightly flattering next to a short-haul route with the same operational quality.
Every one of the 308 flights under AS 569 in the data flew MSY to SEA. The number was not reused on any other city pair, which makes this a clean record of one route.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 308 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking AS 569
For a booking, read AS 569 as 70.7% on time with 1.30% cancelled over 308 flights. Those are rates from the past twelve months, not a forecast for any particular day.
Related
Where to go next
- Louis Armstrong New Orleans International (MSY) delay statistics
- Seattle-Tacoma International (SEA) delay statistics
- Alaska Airlines on-time record
- Every Alaska Airlines flight number with a record
- The most and least reliable flight numbers in the US
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
A flight number here means Alaska Airlines’s own number as it reports to the DOT. How the figures are computed is on the methodology page.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.