Flight number record
AS 569
Alaska Airlines · New Orleans to Seattle
- Route
- MSY → SEA
- Departs
- 16:53
- Flights
- 306
- Period
- July 2025 to June 2026
Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s AS 569, check with Alaska Airlines.
AS 569 sits in the middle of the pack with a C. About seven flights in ten arrive on time by the DOT's definition, 6 points worse than the national rate of 77.6%. The late ones land roughly 55 minutes behind schedule. That rests on 306 flights, with a median arrival 1 minute late.
The national on-time rate over the same period is 77.6%, so AS 569 runs 6 points behind the country as a whole. Across a thousand flights that is about 57 extra late arrivals.
Key figures
On time
71.9%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 302 completed flights
Avg delay
53 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
1.31%
National rate is 1.81%
1 hour+ late
6.0%
National rate is 8.1%
These figures cover 306 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. On-time means an arrival less than 15 minutes after the scheduled gate time, the same threshold the Department of Transportation uses in its own reports. Cancelled and diverted flights are excluded from the on-time rate and counted separately, which is why the cancellation column matters on its own.
Schedule
When AS 569 flies
AS 569 flies MSY to SEA without a single fixed slot. Its most common scheduled departure was 16:53, used on 49 of 306 flights, with 17:19 (45 flights) and 17:57 (39 flights) next. Carriers retime flights through the season, so the rates here blend slightly different positions in the aircraft's day.
- Departs 16:5349 flights16.0%
- Departs 17:1945 flights14.7%
- Departs 17:5739 flights12.7%
Scale runs 0% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Share of scheduled departures at each local time. Times used on fewer than one flight in ten are not listed.
A 16:53 departure sits in the 2pm–5pm window. Across every US flight scheduled in that window the on-time rate is 72.4%, and AS 569 runs level with that at 71.9%. Midday slots inherit some of the morning's delays without yet carrying the full weight of the evening's.
Against the route
AS 569 next to MSY to SEA
Every carrier on MSY to SEA combined arrived on time 71.6% of the time across 626 flights, so AS 569 is about level with it. Alaska flew 621 flights on the same city pair under all its flight numbers, including this one, and those ran 71.4% on time. Across its whole network Alaska Airlines managed 79.1%, which this flight trails by 7 points.
| Compared with | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS 569thin sample | 306 | 71.9% | 53 min | 1.31% | C |
| All Alaska Airlines on MSY–SEA | 621 | 71.4% | 51 min | 0.81% | C+ |
| All carriers on MSY–SEA | 626 | 71.6% | 51 min | 0.80% | C+ |
| Alaska Airlines, whole network | 293,372 | 79.1% | 52 min | 1.28% | B |
Across the year
AS 569 quarter by quarter
AS 569 did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Jan–Mar 2026 at 83.6% on time and its weakest Oct–Dec 2025 at 61.6%, a swing of 22 points on roughly 77 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.
- Jul–Sep 202585 flights71.4%
- Oct–Dec 202575 flights61.6%
- Jan–Mar 202655 flights83.6%
- Apr–Jun 202691 flights73.3%
Scale runs 55% to 90%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
By weekday, AS 569 did best on Saturday at 80.6% on time and worst on Friday at 63.6%. Each day rests on about 44 flights, so a gap of 17 points is worth noticing but could still narrow in another year.
Delay causes
Why AS 569 runs late
One category carries most of the weight here. Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 42% of the 4,529 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.
- 42%Late-arriving aircraft
- 31%Carrier
- 24%National Airspace System
- 2%Security
- 1%Extreme weather
42% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 4,529 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 39 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit. The split is drawn from 4,529 delay minutes reported on AS 569.
Cancellations sit at 1.31% against a national 1.81%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 0.00%.
Connections and routes
What a delay on this flight costs
6.0% of arrivals land an hour or more late, close to the national 8.1%. That is the figure that decides a connection, and it says a 60 to 75 minute layover is reasonable here while anything under 45 minutes is a bet. Most delays on this route last roughly 55 minutes, which a normal layover absorbs.
At 2,086 miles this is transcontinental flying, and long routes get a quiet structural advantage. Scheduled block time on a flight this length carries more padding in absolute minutes, so a twenty-minute late departure often still becomes an on-time arrival. Read the on-time rate here as slightly flattering next to a short-haul route with the same operational quality.
Every one of the 306 flights under AS 569 in the data flew MSY to SEA. The number was not reused on any other city pair, which makes this a clean record of one route.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 306 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking AS 569
For a booking, read AS 569 as 71.9% on time with 1.31% cancelled over 306 flights. Those are rates from the past twelve months, not a forecast for any particular day.
Related
Where to go next
- Louis Armstrong New Orleans International (MSY) delay statistics
- Seattle-Tacoma International (SEA) delay statistics
- Alaska Airlines on-time record
- Every Alaska Airlines flight number with a record
- The most and least reliable flight numbers in the US
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
A flight number here means Alaska Airlines’s own number as it reports to the DOT. How the figures are computed is on the methodology page.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.