Flight number record

AA 2015

American Airlines · Orlando to Phoenix

Route: MCO → PHX
Departs: 07:00
Flights: 303
Period: July 2025 to June 2026

Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s AA 2015, check with American Airlines.

AA 2015 earns an A. More than four flights in five arrive inside the 15-minute window the DOT uses to define an on-time arrival, which puts it 9 points better than the national rate of 77.6%. When something does go wrong the average delay runs an hour and a half. That rests on 303 flights, with a median arrival 9 minutes early.

Set against the rest of the country, AA 2015's record is 9 points better than the US average of 77.6%. That gap is worth roughly 89 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.

On time

86.5%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 297 completed flights

Avg delay

88 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

1.32%

National rate is 1.81%

1 hour+ late

3.4%

National rate is 8.1%

These figures cover 303 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. The median arrival is 9 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.

Schedule

When AA 2015 flies

AA 2015 flies MCO to PHX without a single fixed slot. Its most common scheduled departure was 07:00, used on 71 of 303 flights, with 07:34 (54 flights) and 07:13 (37 flights) next. Carriers retime flights through the season, so the rates here blend slightly different positions in the aircraft's day.

Departs 07:0071 flights23.4%
Departs 07:3454 flights17.8%
Departs 07:1337 flights12.2%

Scale runs 0% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Share of scheduled departures at each local time. Times used on fewer than one flight in ten are not listed.

A 07:00 departure sits in the 5am–8am window. Across every US flight scheduled in that window the on-time rate is 89.3%, and AA 2015 runs 3 points worse at 86.5%. Early departures usually start with an aircraft that has not flown yet that day, which is most of why the window does well.

Against the route

AA 2015 next to MCO to PHX

Every carrier on MCO to PHX combined arrived on time 77.6% of the time across 1,842 flights, so AA 2015 is 9 points ahead of it. American flew 796 flights on the same city pair under all its flight numbers, including this one, and those ran 75.9% on time. Across its whole network American Airlines managed 74.4%, which this flight beats by 12 points.

AA 2015 against its route and carrier
Compared with	Flights	On time	Avg delay	Cancelled	Grade
AA 2015thin sample	303	86.5%	88 min	1.32%	A
All American Airlines on MCO–PHX	796	75.9%	104 min	0.63%	B+
All carriers on MCO–PHX	1,842	77.6%	76 min	0.49%	B+
American Airlines, whole network	986,297	74.4%	85 min	2.29%	C

Across the year

AA 2015 quarter by quarter

Quarter by quarter AA 2015 held fairly steady: 85.7% in Jul–Sep 2025, 88.4% in Oct–Dec 2025, 84.7% in Jan–Mar 2026 and 86.8% in Apr–Jun 2026. A spread of 4 points is about what a sample of this size moves on its own, so the annual figure is a fair summary.

Jul–Sep 202536 flights85.7%
Oct–Dec 202587 flights88.4%
Jan–Mar 202689 flights84.7%
Apr–Jun 202691 flights86.8%

Scale runs 75% to 95%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

By weekday, AA 2015 did best on Thursday at 92.7% on time and worst on Monday at 76.7%. Each day rests on about 43 flights, so a gap of 16 points is worth noticing but could still narrow in another year.

Delay causes

Why AA 2015 runs late

One category carries most of the weight here. Carrier accounts for 53% of the 3,504 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.

Carrier
53%
Late-arriving aircraft
32%
National Airspace System
12%
Extreme weather
3%

The largest share of delay minutes, 53%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. Unlike weather, that is a management outcome, and it is the category where the gap between two carriers on the same schedule is genuinely earned. It accounts for 1,865 of the 3,504 delay minutes reported here. The split is drawn from 3,504 delay minutes reported on AA 2015.

Cancellations sit at 1.32% against a national 1.81%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 0.66%.

Connections and routes

What a delay on this flight costs

Badly late arrivals are rare here: only 3.4% land an hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. Connections built on this flight are about as safe as US domestic connections get, though a cancelled flight still ignores every layover you give it.

At 1,849 miles this is transcontinental flying, and long routes get a quiet structural advantage. Scheduled block time on a flight this length carries more padding in absolute minutes, so a twenty-minute late departure often still becomes an on-time arrival. Read the on-time rate here as slightly flattering next to a short-haul route with the same operational quality.

The same number turns up on two other city pairs in the data, including BOI to PHX (33) and PHX to BOI (33), but none flew often enough under AA 2015 to report a rate for. Carriers move flight numbers between routes, so the figures on this page apply to MCO to PHX only.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 303 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking AA 2015

For a booking, AA 2015 has one of the better records a US domestic flight can show: 86.5% on time and 1.32% cancelled. That is a base rate, not a promise about any single day.

Where to go next

A flight number here means American Airlines’s own number as it reports to the DOT. How the figures are computed is on the methodology page.

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.

Key figures