Flight number record
AA 2015
American Airlines · Orlando to Phoenix
- Route
- MCO → PHX
- Departs
- 07:30
- Flights
- 302
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s AA 2015, check with American Airlines.
AA 2015 earns an A. More than four flights in five arrive inside the 15-minute window the DOT uses to define an on-time arrival, which puts it 9 points better than the national rate of 77.3%. When something does go wrong the average delay runs an hour and a half. That rests on 302 flights, with a median arrival 8 minutes early.
Set against the rest of the country, AA 2015's record is 9 points better than the US average of 77.3%. That gap is worth roughly 86 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.
Key figures
On time
85.9%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 297 completed flights
Avg delay
91 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
1.32%
National rate is 1.89%
1 hour+ late
4.4%
National rate is 8.3%
These figures cover 302 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. The median arrival is 8 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
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Schedule
When AA 2015 flies
AA 2015 flies MCO to PHX without a single fixed slot. Its most common scheduled departure was 07:30, used on 65 of 302 flights, with 07:34 (54 flights) and 07:00 (49 flights) next.
- Departs 07:3065 flights21.5%
- Departs 07:3454 flights17.9%
- Departs 07:0049 flights16.2%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of scheduled departures at each local time. Times used on fewer than one flight in ten are not listed.
A 07:30 departure sits in the 5am–8am window. Across every US flight scheduled in that window the on-time rate is 89.3%, and AA 2015 runs 3 points worse at 85.9%. Early departures usually start with an aircraft that has not flown yet that day, which is most of why the window does well.
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Against the route
AA 2015 next to MCO to PHX
Every carrier on MCO to PHX combined arrived on time 78.9% of the time across 1,844 flights, so AA 2015 is 7 points ahead of it. American flew 796 flights on the same city pair under all its flight numbers, including this one, and those ran 78.0% on time. Across its whole network American Airlines managed 74.7%, which this flight beats by 11 points.
| Compared with | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AA 2015thin sample | 302 | 85.9% | 91 min | 1.32% | A |
| All American Airlines on MCO–PHX | 796 | 78.0% | 103 min | 0.63% | B+ |
| All carriers on MCO–PHX | 1,844 | 78.9% | 75 min | 0.54% | B+ |
| American Airlines, whole network | 988,892 | 74.7% | 85 min | 2.14% | C |
Across the year
AA 2015 quarter by quarter
Quarter by quarter AA 2015 held fairly steady: 88.4% in Oct–Dec 2025, 84.7% in Jan–Mar 2026, 86.8% in Apr–Jun 2026 and 80.0% in Jul–Sep 2026. A spread of 8 points is about what a sample of this size moves on its own, so the annual figure is a fair summary.
- Oct–Dec 202587 flights88.4%
- Jan–Mar 202689 flights84.7%
- Apr–Jun 202691 flights86.8%
- Jul–Sep 202635 flights80.0%
Scale runs 70% to 95%.
By weekday, AA 2015 did best on Thursday at 92.9% on time and worst on Monday at 72.1%. Each day rests on about 43 flights, so a gap of 21 points is worth noticing but could still narrow in another year.
Arrival by arrival
How late AA 2015 runs when it is late
AA 2015 often beats the schedule: 105 of 297 completed flights, 35%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. Most of the lateness is short. 23 of the 42 late arrivals were under half an hour behind, and 13 reached an hour or more.
- 15+ min early105 flights35.4%
- Within 15 min150 flights50.5%
- 15–29 min late23 flights7.7%
- 30–59 min late6 flights2.0%
- 1–2 hours late7 flights2.4%
- 2+ hours late6 flights2.0%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 297 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
8 of 30 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 27% of them. In the other direction, 20 flights left on time yet arrived 15 minutes late or more, so that delay built up after pushback: in the air, in a holding pattern or on the ground at PHX.
The worst days
Worst days for AA 2015
The latest arrival of the period was on 13 October 2025, 11 hours 41 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as carrier-caused (crew, maintenance, fuelling, baggage). On three of the five worst days the largest share was filed as a late-arriving aircraft.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 13 October 2025 | 11 hours 41 minutes | Carrier |
| 29 May 2026 | 8 hours 34 minutes | Carrier |
| 13 March 2026 | 8 hours 13 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 16 March 2026 | 5 hours 18 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 21 November 2025 | 4 hours 20 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
Delay causes
Why AA 2015 runs late
Carrier accounts for 55% of the 3,813 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 55%Carrier
- 29%Late-arriving aircraft
- 13%National Airspace System
- 3%Extreme weather
The largest share of delay minutes, 55%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. It accounts for 2,092 of the 3,813 delay minutes reported here. The split is drawn from 3,813 delay minutes reported on AA 2015.
Cancellations sit at 1.32% against a national 1.89%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 0.33%.
Connections and routes
What a delay on this flight costs
Badly late arrivals are rare here: only 4.4% land an hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Connections built on this flight are about as safe as US domestic connections get, though a cancelled flight still ignores every layover you give it.
At 1,849 miles this is transcontinental flying, and long routes get a quiet structural advantage. Scheduled block time on a flight this length carries more padding in absolute minutes, so a twenty-minute late departure often still becomes an on-time arrival. Read the on-time rate here as slightly flattering next to a short-haul route with the same operational quality.
The same number turns up on three other city pairs in the data, including BOI to PHX (33), PHX to BOI (33) and PHL to TPA (20), but none flew often enough under AA 2015 to report a rate for. Carriers move flight numbers between routes, so the figures on this page apply to MCO to PHX only.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 302 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking AA 2015
For a booking, AA 2015 has one of the better records a US domestic flight can show: 85.9% on time and 1.32% cancelled. That is a base rate, not a promise about any single day.
Related
Where to go next
- MCO to PHX, every carrier and departure
- PHX to MCO, the return direction
- Orlando International (MCO) delay statistics
- Phoenix Sky Harbor International (PHX) delay statistics
- American Airlines on-time record
- Every American Airlines flight number with a record
- The most and least reliable flight numbers in the US
- Worst months to fly in the US, ranked by the data
A flight number here means American Airlines’s own number as it reports to the DOT. How the figures are computed is on the methodology page.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.