Carrier route record
UAEYW→ORD
United Airlines · Key West to Chicago
- Flights
- 138
- Period
- July 2025 to June 2026
- Share of route
- 19%
- Carriers
- 3
Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s flights, check with United Airlines.
United on EYW to ORD earns an F, which is as low as this site's scale goes for a reason. Only 54.5% of flights arrive inside the 15-minute window, 23 points worse than the national rate of 77.6%. Late arrivals average close to two hours. Treat any tight connection here as a coin flip. That rests on 138 flights, with a median arrival 12 minutes late.
The national on-time rate over the same period is 77.6%, so United on EYW to ORD runs 23 points behind the country as a whole. Across a thousand flights that is about 231 extra late arrivals.
Key figures
On time
54.5%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 134 completed flights
Avg delay
105 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
1.45%
National rate is 1.81%
Whole route
67.4%
Every carrier on EYW to ORD, 717 flights
These figures cover 138 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 19.4% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.
Carrier by carrier
United against every carrier on EYW to ORD
United flew 138 of the 717 flights on EYW to ORD, about 19% of it. Its 54.5% on time is 13 points worse than the route as a whole, which runs 67.4%. Ranked by on-time rate it is last of three carriers on the route, where the range runs from Republic at 79.4% to United at 54.5%. One of those carriers flew fewer than 365 flights here, so treat their positions as rough.
Only one carrier clears this site's 365-flight floor here, so there is no comparison to draw. The table below is the full picture.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republic Airwaysthin sample | 172 | 79.4% | 81 min | 1.74% | B |
| Envoy Air | 407 | 67.0% | 90 min | 1.23% | C |
| United Airlines (this page)thin sample | 138 | 54.5% | 105 min | 1.45% | F |
Departure window
When United runs best on this route
Departure time is the single lever a traveller controls, and it moves the odds more than most people expect. Each bar below is the on-time rate for flights scheduled to leave inside that window, across 138 flights.
There are not enough flights in each departure window to split United's EYW to ORD record by time of day without the percentages moving on noise. The headline rate of 54.5% is the reliable figure here.
Across the year
United on EYW to ORD through the year
- Oct–Dec 202514 flights—
- Jan–Mar 202695 flights53.8%
- Apr–Jun 202629 flights—
Scale runs 45% to 60%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Monthly volumes are too low here to break the year into twelve reliable readings. What the twelve-month total says is 54.5% on time across 138 flights.
Split by quarter, United on EYW to ORD logged 14 flights in Oct–Dec 2025, 95 flights in Jan–Mar 2026 and 29 flights in Apr–Jun 2026. Fewer than three of those quarters carried the 30 completed flights this site needs before printing a rate, so the 54.5% annual figure is the one to use.
Delay causes
Why United runs late on this route
One category carries most of the weight here. Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 45% of the 6,382 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.
- 45%Late-arriving aircraft
- 33%Carrier
- 22%National Airspace System
45% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 6,382 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 45 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit. The split is drawn from 6,382 reported delay minutes.
Cancellations sit at 1.45% against a national 1.81%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 1.45%.
Connections and stage length
What a delay here costs
For anyone connecting, the number to weigh is not the on-time rate but the tail behind it. 19.4% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. A 45-minute layover does not survive that, and no amount of walking quickly changes it. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.
The 1,251 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.
The return leg is a different operation and performs like one: it runs 77.2% on time across 138 flights, 23 points above this direction. Departure banks, aircraft rotations and the congestion at each end all differ, so scoring the two directions together would average away a real 23 points of difference.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 138 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking United on EYW to ORD
Put together: treat all of this as provisional. 138 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor and not enough to be confident to better than a couple of points. The 54.5% headline is the most reliable number on the page; the hour and month splits below it are built on a few dozen flights each. 134 completed flights over 12 months sit behind that.
Related
Where to go next
- EYW to ORD, every carrier
- United on ORD to EYW, the return leg
- Republic Airways on EYW to ORD79.4%
- Envoy Air on EYW to ORD67.0%
- United Airlines network-wide record
- Chicago O'Hare International (ORD) delay statistics
- Why the first flight of the morning is statistically safest
- How often a connection fails at the major US hubs
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.