Flight number record
OO 3954
SkyWest Airlines · Seattle to Medford
- Route
- SEA → MFR
- Departs
- 21:45
- Flights
- 365
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s OO 3954, check with SkyWest Airlines. SkyWest Airlines flies under contract for larger airlines, so a ticket for this flight may show a different airline code and number.
OO 3954 earns an A+. Close to nine flights in ten arrive inside the 15-minute window the DOT uses to define an on-time arrival, which puts it 12 points better than the national rate of 77.3%. When something does go wrong the average delay runs a little over an hour. That rests on 365 flights, with a median arrival 10 minutes early.
Set against the rest of the country, OO 3954's record is 12 points better than the US average of 77.3%. That gap is worth roughly 119 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.
Key figures
On time
89.2%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 362 completed flights
Avg delay
74 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
0.55%
National rate is 1.89%
1 hour+ late
3.0%
National rate is 8.3%
These figures cover 365 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. The median arrival is 10 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
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Schedule
When OO 3954 flies
OO 3954 flies SEA to MFR without a single fixed slot. Its most common scheduled departure was 21:45, used on 79 of 365 flights, with 21:35 (79 flights) and 21:25 (74 flights) next.
- Departs 21:4579 flights21.6%
- Departs 21:3579 flights21.6%
- Departs 21:2574 flights20.3%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of scheduled departures at each local time. Times used on fewer than one flight in ten are not listed.
A 21:45 departure sits in the 8pm–5am window. Across every US flight scheduled in that window the on-time rate is 70.1%, and OO 3954 runs 19 points better at 89.2%. By that time of day most aircraft have flown several legs already, and whatever went wrong earlier is still in the schedule.
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Against the route
OO 3954 next to SEA to MFR
Every carrier on SEA to MFR combined arrived on time 86.2% of the time across 1,320 flights, so OO 3954 is 3 points ahead of it. Across its whole network SkyWest Airlines managed 78.7%, which this flight beats by 11 points.
| Compared with | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OO 3954 | 365 | 89.2% | 74 min | 0.55% | A+ |
| All SkyWest Airlines on SEA–MFR | 1,320 | 86.2% | 62 min | 0.98% | A+ |
| All carriers on SEA–MFR | 1,320 | 86.2% | 62 min | 0.98% | A+ |
| SkyWest Airlines, whole network | 855,406 | 78.7% | 88 min | 1.79% | B |
Across the year
OO 3954 quarter by quarter
OO 3954 did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Jul–Sep 2025 at 100.0% on time and its weakest Apr–Jun 2026 at 84.6%, a swing of 15 points on roughly 73 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.
- Jul–Sep 202530 flights100.0%
- Oct–Dec 202592 flights90.1%
- Jan–Mar 202690 flights92.0%
- Apr–Jun 202691 flights84.6%
- Jul–Sep 202662 flights85.5%
Scale runs 75% to 100%.
By weekday, OO 3954 ranged from 84.9% on Monday to 92.2% on Wednesday. With about 52 flights behind each day, a spread of 7 points is inside normal variation, so the day you fly is not worth changing for this flight.
Arrival by arrival
How late OO 3954 runs when it is late
OO 3954 often beats the schedule: 118 of 362 completed flights, 33%, arrived 15 minutes or more early. The 39 late arrivals split 15 under half an hour, 13 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 11 an hour or more.
- 15+ min early118 flights32.6%
- Within 15 min205 flights56.6%
- 15–29 min late15 flights4.1%
- 30–59 min late13 flights3.6%
- 1–2 hours late8 flights2.2%
- 2+ hours late3 flights0.8%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 362 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
13 of 44 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 30% of them. 8 flights left on time and still arrived late.
The worst days
Worst days for OO 3954
The latest arrival of the period was on 14 March 2026, 9 hours 58 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as carrier-caused (crew, maintenance, fuelling, baggage). On three of the five worst days the largest share was filed as extreme weather.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 14 March 2026 | 9 hours 58 minutes | Carrier |
| 13 December 2025 | 9 hours 25 minutes | Extreme weather |
| 8 December 2025 | 2 hours 40 minutes | Extreme weather |
| 5 June 2026 | 1 hour 46 minutes | National Airspace System |
| 13 March 2026 | 1 hour 42 minutes | Extreme weather |
Delay causes
Why OO 3954 runs late
Carrier accounts for 51% of the 2,866 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 51%Carrier
- 43%Extreme weather
- 6%National Airspace System
Extreme weather accounts for 43% of delay minutes, well above the single-digit share typical across the system. Weather delays are lumpy: they arrive as whole bad days rather than as a steady drag, so the quarterly figures above are the more useful view of the risk. The national share is 6%, so this operation carries roughly 7.2 times the usual weather exposure. The split is drawn from 2,866 delay minutes reported on OO 3954.
Cancellations are rare at 0.55%, below the national 1.89% and low enough to earn the plus on the grade. Roughly one flight in 100 is called off; the risk here is arriving late, not not arriving.
Connections and routes
What a delay on this flight costs
Badly late arrivals are rare here: only 3.0% land an hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Connections built on this flight are about as safe as US domestic connections get, though a cancelled flight still ignores every layover you give it.
Every one of the 365 flights under OO 3954 in the data flew SEA to MFR. The number was not reused on any other city pair, which makes this a clean record of one route.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 365 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking OO 3954
For a booking, OO 3954 has one of the better records a US domestic flight can show: 89.2% on time and 0.55% cancelled. That is a base rate, not a promise about any single day.
Related
Where to go next
- SEA to MFR, every carrier and departure
- MFR to SEA, the return direction
- SkyWest Airlines 3770 on the same route90.9%
- Seattle-Tacoma International (SEA) delay statistics
- SkyWest Airlines on-time record
- Every SkyWest Airlines flight number with a record
- The most and least reliable flight numbers in the US
- Worst months to fly in the US, ranked by the data
A flight number here means SkyWest Airlines’s own number as it reports to the DOT. How the figures are computed is on the methodology page.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.