Flight number record
F9 4872
Frontier Airlines · Orlando to New York
- Route
- MCO → JFK
- Departs
- 07:15
- Flights
- 281
- Period
- July 2025 to June 2026
Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s F9 4872, check with Frontier Airlines.
F9 4872 earns an A. More than four flights in five arrive inside the 15-minute window the DOT uses to define an on-time arrival, which puts it 9 points better than the national rate of 77.6%. When something does go wrong the average delay runs about an hour. That rests on 281 flights, with a median arrival 11 minutes early.
Set against the rest of the country, F9 4872's record is 9 points better than the US average of 77.6%. That gap is worth roughly 90 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.
Key figures
On time
86.6%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 277 completed flights
Avg delay
62 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
1.42%
National rate is 1.81%
1 hour+ late
2.9%
National rate is 8.1%
These figures cover 281 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. The median arrival is 11 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.
Schedule
When F9 4872 flies
F9 4872 flies MCO to JFK without a single fixed slot. Its most common scheduled departure was 07:15, used on 53 of 281 flights, with 07:35 (49 flights) and 07:43 (31 flights) next. Carriers retime flights through the season, so the rates here blend slightly different positions in the aircraft's day.
- Departs 07:1553 flights18.9%
- Departs 07:3549 flights17.4%
- Departs 07:4331 flights11.0%
Scale runs 0% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
Share of scheduled departures at each local time. Times used on fewer than one flight in ten are not listed.
A 07:15 departure sits in the 5am–8am window. Across every US flight scheduled in that window the on-time rate is 89.3%, and F9 4872 runs 3 points worse at 86.6%. Early departures usually start with an aircraft that has not flown yet that day, which is most of why the window does well.
Against the route
F9 4872 next to MCO to JFK
Every carrier on MCO to JFK combined arrived on time 74.1% of the time across 4,899 flights, so F9 4872 is 13 points ahead of it. Across its whole network Frontier Airlines managed 73.2%, which this flight beats by 13 points.
| Compared with | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F9 4872thin sample | 281 | 86.6% | 62 min | 1.42% | A |
| All Frontier Airlines on MCO–JFKthin sample | 294 | 86.2% | 62 min | 1.36% | A |
| All carriers on MCO–JFK | 4,899 | 74.1% | 83 min | 2.92% | C |
| Frontier Airlines, whole network | 205,332 | 73.2% | 84 min | 1.85% | C |
Across the year
F9 4872 quarter by quarter
F9 4872 did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Oct–Dec 2025 at 92.4% on time and its weakest Jan–Mar 2026 at 78.8%, a swing of 14 points on roughly 94 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.
- Jul–Sep 202592 flights88.0%
- Oct–Dec 202592 flights92.4%
- Jan–Mar 202684 flights78.8%
- Apr–Jun 202613 flights—
Scale runs 70% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.
By weekday, F9 4872 did best on Wednesday at 95.0% on time and worst on Saturday at 78.0%. Each day rests on about 40 flights, so a gap of 17 points is worth noticing but could still narrow in another year.
Delay causes
Why F9 4872 runs late
One category carries most of the weight here. National Airspace System accounts for 55% of the 2,275 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.
- 55%National Airspace System
- 35%Carrier
- 9%Late-arriving aircraft
- 1%Extreme weather
The largest share of delay minutes, 35%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. Unlike weather, that is a management outcome, and it is the category where the gap between two carriers on the same schedule is genuinely earned. It accounts for 800 of the 2,275 delay minutes reported here. The split is drawn from 2,275 delay minutes reported on F9 4872.
Cancellations sit at 1.42% against a national 1.81%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 0.00%.
Connections and routes
What a delay on this flight costs
Badly late arrivals are rare here: only 2.9% land an hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. Connections built on this flight are about as safe as US domestic connections get, though a cancelled flight still ignores every layover you give it.
The 944 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.
Every one of the 281 flights under F9 4872 in the data flew MCO to JFK. The number was not reused on any other city pair, which makes this a clean record of one route.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 281 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking F9 4872
For a booking, F9 4872 has one of the better records a US domestic flight can show: 86.6% on time and 1.42% cancelled. That is a base rate, not a promise about any single day.
Related
Where to go next
- MCO to JFK, every carrier and departure
- JFK to MCO, the return direction
- JetBlue Airways 2584 on the same route83.1%
- Delta Air Lines 2049 on the same route81.5%
- JetBlue Airways 1084 on the same route78.0%
- Delta Air Lines 2693 on the same route90.1%
- JetBlue Airways 1184 on the same route91.3%
- JetBlue Airways 884 on the same route52.3%
- Orlando International (MCO) delay statistics
- John F. Kennedy International (JFK) delay statistics
- Frontier Airlines on-time record
- Every Frontier Airlines flight number with a record
- The most and least reliable flight numbers in the US
- Worst months to fly in the US, ranked by the data
A flight number here means Frontier Airlines’s own number as it reports to the DOT. How the figures are computed is on the methodology page.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.