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DelayAtlas

Flight number record

F9 4872

Frontier Airlines · Orlando to New York

Route
MCO → JFK
Departs
07:15
Flights
281
Period
July 2025 to June 2026
AGRADE

Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s F9 4872, check with Frontier Airlines.

F9 4872 earns an A. More than four flights in five arrive inside the 15-minute window the DOT uses to define an on-time arrival, which puts it 9 points better than the national rate of 77.6%. When something does go wrong the average delay runs about an hour. That rests on 281 flights, with a median arrival 11 minutes early.

Set against the rest of the country, F9 4872's record is 9 points better than the US average of 77.6%. That gap is worth roughly 90 fewer late arrivals for every thousand flights.

Key figures

On time

86.6%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 277 completed flights

Avg delay

62 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

1.42%

National rate is 1.81%

1 hour+ late

2.9%

National rate is 8.1%

These figures cover 281 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. The median arrival is 11 minutes early, which is the part an average hides: most flights here are fine, and the on-time rate is decided by a tail of badly late ones. On-time means under 15 minutes late, the DOT's own threshold.

Schedule

When F9 4872 flies

F9 4872 flies MCO to JFK without a single fixed slot. Its most common scheduled departure was 07:15, used on 53 of 281 flights, with 07:35 (49 flights) and 07:43 (31 flights) next. Carriers retime flights through the season, so the rates here blend slightly different positions in the aircraft's day.

  • Departs 07:1553 flights18.9%
  • Departs 07:3549 flights17.4%
  • Departs 07:4331 flights11.0%

Scale runs 0% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Share of scheduled departures at each local time. Times used on fewer than one flight in ten are not listed.

A 07:15 departure sits in the 5am–8am window. Across every US flight scheduled in that window the on-time rate is 89.3%, and F9 4872 runs 3 points worse at 86.6%. Early departures usually start with an aircraft that has not flown yet that day, which is most of why the window does well.

Against the route

F9 4872 next to MCO to JFK

Every carrier on MCO to JFK combined arrived on time 74.1% of the time across 4,899 flights, so F9 4872 is 13 points ahead of it. Across its whole network Frontier Airlines managed 73.2%, which this flight beats by 13 points.

F9 4872 against its route and carrier
Compared withFlightsOn timeAvg delayCancelledGrade
F9 4872thin sample28186.6%62 min1.42%A
All Frontier Airlines on MCO–JFKthin sample29486.2%62 min1.36%A
All carriers on MCO–JFK4,89974.1%83 min2.92%C
Frontier Airlines, whole network205,33273.2%84 min1.85%C

Across the year

F9 4872 quarter by quarter

F9 4872 did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Oct–Dec 2025 at 92.4% on time and its weakest Jan–Mar 2026 at 78.8%, a swing of 14 points on roughly 94 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.

  • Jul–Sep 202592 flights88.0%
  • Oct–Dec 202592 flights92.4%
  • Jan–Mar 202684 flights78.8%
  • Apr–Jun 202613 flights

Scale runs 70% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

By weekday, F9 4872 did best on Wednesday at 95.0% on time and worst on Saturday at 78.0%. Each day rests on about 40 flights, so a gap of 17 points is worth noticing but could still narrow in another year.

On-time rate by day of the week78.9Mon92.7Tue95.0Wed92.7Thu84.6Fri78.0Sat83.8Sun
Monday: 78.9 percent on time. Tuesday: 92.7 percent on time. Wednesday: 95.0 percent on time. Thursday: 92.7 percent on time. Friday: 84.6 percent on time. Saturday: 78.0 percent on time. Sunday: 83.8 percent on time

Delay causes

Why F9 4872 runs late

One category carries most of the weight here. National Airspace System accounts for 55% of the 2,275 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.

  • National Airspace System
    55%
  • Carrier
    35%
  • Late-arriving aircraft
    9%
  • Extreme weather
    1%

The largest share of delay minutes, 35%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. Unlike weather, that is a management outcome, and it is the category where the gap between two carriers on the same schedule is genuinely earned. It accounts for 800 of the 2,275 delay minutes reported here. The split is drawn from 2,275 delay minutes reported on F9 4872.

Cancellations sit at 1.42% against a national 1.81%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 0.00%.

Connections and routes

What a delay on this flight costs

Badly late arrivals are rare here: only 2.9% land an hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. Connections built on this flight are about as safe as US domestic connections get, though a cancelled flight still ignores every layover you give it.

The 944 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty. It is also long enough that the aircraft usually flies three or four legs a day rather than six, which slows how fast delay compounds.

Every one of the 281 flights under F9 4872 in the data flew MCO to JFK. The number was not reused on any other city pair, which makes this a clean record of one route.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 281 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking F9 4872

For a booking, F9 4872 has one of the better records a US domestic flight can show: 86.6% on time and 1.42% cancelled. That is a base rate, not a promise about any single day.

Related

Where to go next

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.