Flight number record
DL 2954
Delta Air Lines · Minneapolis to Bozeman
- Route
- MSP → BZN
- Departs
- 18:40
- Flights
- 325
- Period
- September 2025 to August 2026
Historical statistics for September 2025 to August 2026, not live status. For today’s DL 2954, check with Delta Air Lines.
DL 2954 sits in the middle of the pack with a C+. About seven flights in ten arrive on time by the DOT's definition, 5 points worse than the national rate of 77.3%. The late ones land about an hour behind schedule. That rests on 325 flights, with a median arrival 5 minutes early.
The national on-time rate over the same period is 77.3%, so DL 2954 runs 5 points behind the country as a whole. Across a thousand flights that is about 53 extra late arrivals.
Key figures
On time
72.0%
Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 322 completed flights
Avg delay
56 min
Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights
Cancelled
0.92%
National rate is 1.89%
1 hour+ late
9.0%
National rate is 8.3%
These figures cover 325 flights between September 2025 and August 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 9.0% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally.
Fare search by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.
Schedule
When DL 2954 flies
DL 2954 flies MSP to BZN without a single fixed slot. Its most common scheduled departure was 18:40, used on 60 of 325 flights, with 22:23 (43 flights) and 21:59 (38 flights) next.
- Departs 18:4060 flights18.5%
- Departs 22:2343 flights13.2%
- Departs 21:5938 flights11.7%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of scheduled departures at each local time. Times used on fewer than one flight in ten are not listed.
A 18:40 departure sits in the 5pm–8pm window. Across every US flight scheduled in that window the on-time rate is 68.0%, and DL 2954 runs 4 points better at 72.0%. By that time of day most aircraft have flown several legs already, and whatever went wrong earlier is still in the schedule.
Timetable by Aviasales, a Travelpayouts partner. Booking through it may earn this site a commission at no cost to you; it changes no figure here.
Against the route
DL 2954 next to MSP to BZN
Every carrier on MSP to BZN combined arrived on time 80.0% of the time across 807 flights, so DL 2954 is 8 points behind it. Across its whole network Delta Air Lines managed 81.1%, which this flight trails by 9 points.
| Compared with | Flights | On time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DL 2954thin sample | 325 | 72.0% | 56 min | 0.92% | C+ |
| All Delta Air Lines on MSP–BZN | 807 | 80.0% | 52 min | 0.62% | B+ |
| All carriers on MSP–BZN | 807 | 80.0% | 52 min | 0.62% | B+ |
| Delta Air Lines, whole network | 1,039,517 | 81.1% | 71 min | 1.74% | B |
Across the year
DL 2954 quarter by quarter
DL 2954 did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Jul–Sep 2025 at 86.7% on time and its weakest Jan–Mar 2026 at 54.0%, a swing of 33 points on roughly 65 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.
- Jul–Sep 202530 flights86.7%
- Oct–Dec 202591 flights71.1%
- Jan–Mar 202651 flights54.0%
- Apr–Jun 202691 flights76.7%
- Jul–Sep 202662 flights74.2%
Scale runs 45% to 90%.
By weekday, DL 2954 did best on Wednesday at 85.1% on time and worst on Sunday at 59.1%. Each day rests on about 46 flights, so a gap of 26 points is worth noticing but could still narrow in another year.
Arrival by arrival
How late DL 2954 runs when it is late
The 90 late arrivals split 31 under half an hour, 30 between 30 and 60 minutes, and 29 an hour or more.
- 15+ min early79 flights24.5%
- Within 15 min153 flights47.5%
- 15–29 min late31 flights9.6%
- 30–59 min late30 flights9.3%
- 1–2 hours late20 flights6.2%
- 2+ hours late9 flights2.8%
Scale runs 0% to 100%.
Share of 322 completed flights by arrival against schedule.
12 of 86 late departures made up the time and arrived on time, 14% of them. 16 flights left on time and still arrived late.
The worst days
Worst days for DL 2954
The latest arrival of the period was on 20 July 2026, 3 hours 38 minutes behind schedule; most of its delay minutes were filed as carrier-caused (crew, maintenance, fuelling, baggage). The same cause led on three of the five worst days.
| Date | Arrived late by | Largest filed cause |
|---|---|---|
| 20 July 2026 | 3 hours 38 minutes | Carrier |
| 15 March 2026 | 3 hours 14 minutes | Extreme weather |
| 26 July 2026 | 2 hours 43 minutes | Carrier |
| 28 December 2025 | 2 hours 31 minutes | Late-arriving aircraft |
| 18 May 2026 | 2 hours 27 minutes | Carrier |
Delay causes
Why DL 2954 runs late
Carrier accounts for 55% of the 5,039 delay minutes carriers reported here, and the remaining four split what is left.
- 55%Carrier
- 29%Late-arriving aircraft
- 12%National Airspace System
- 5%Extreme weather
The largest share of delay minutes, 55%, falls under carrier control: crew scheduling, maintenance, fuelling, baggage. It accounts for 2,754 of the 5,039 delay minutes reported here. The split is drawn from 5,039 delay minutes reported on DL 2954.
Cancellations sit at 0.92% against a national 1.89%, which is ordinary. Diversions add another 0.00%.
Connections and routes
What a delay on this flight costs
9.0% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.3% nationally. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum for a connection here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.
The 874 miles between these two airports put this in the middle of the US network, around two and a half to three hours of block time. That is enough cruise to absorb a ten-minute late pushback and not enough to absorb thirty.
Every one of the 325 flights under DL 2954 in the data flew MSP to BZN. The number was not reused on any other city pair, which makes this a clean record of one route.
One caution: this is a thin sample. 325 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.
What to do with this
Booking DL 2954
For a booking, DL 2954 is one of the weaker ways to fly MSP to BZN: 8 points below the route as a whole. If the schedule allows, compare it with the other departures listed on the route page before settling on this one.
Related
Where to go next
- MSP to BZN, every carrier and departure
- BZN to MSP, the return direction
- Delta Air Lines 1226 on the same route85.4%
- Minneapolis-St Paul International (MSP) delay statistics
- Delta Air Lines on-time record
- Every Delta Air Lines flight number with a record
- The most and least reliable flight numbers in the US
- How often a connection fails at the major US hubs
A flight number here means Delta Air Lines’s own number as it reports to the DOT. How the figures are computed is on the methodology page.
Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, September 2025 to August 2026. Last updated ; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.