Flight number record

AA 3194

American Airlines · Chicago to Los Angeles

Route: ORD → LAX
Departs: 20:30
Flights: 267
Period: July 2025 to June 2026

Historical statistics for July 2025 to June 2026, not live status. For today’s AA 3194, check with American Airlines.

AA 3194 earns an F−, which is as low as this site's scale goes for a reason. Only 51.6% of flights arrive inside the 15-minute window, 26 points worse than the national rate of 77.6%. Late arrivals average about an hour. Treat any tight connection here as a coin flip. That rests on 267 flights, with a median arrival 13 minutes late.

The national on-time rate over the same period is 77.6%, so AA 3194 runs 26 points behind the country as a whole. Across a thousand flights that is about 260 extra late arrivals.

On time

51.6%

Arrivals under 15 minutes late, of 252 completed flights

Avg delay

62 min

Across delayed arrivals only, not all flights

Cancelled

5.24%

National rate is 1.81%

1 hour+ late

13.9%

National rate is 8.1%

These figures cover 267 flights between July 2025 and June 2026. Beyond the headline rate, 13.9% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule. That is the number that wrecks a connection, and it is not visible in an on-time percentage alone.

Schedule

When AA 3194 flies

AA 3194 flies ORD to LAX without a single fixed slot. Its most common scheduled departure was 20:30, used on 55 of 267 flights, with 20:55 (32 flights) and 20:25 (28 flights) next. Carriers retime flights through the season, so the rates here blend slightly different positions in the aircraft's day.

Departs 20:3055 flights20.6%
Departs 20:5532 flights12.0%
Departs 20:2528 flights10.5%

Scale runs 0% to 100%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

Share of scheduled departures at each local time. Times used on fewer than one flight in ten are not listed.

A 20:30 departure sits in the 8pm–5am window. Across every US flight scheduled in that window the on-time rate is 70.5%, and AA 3194 runs 19 points worse at 51.6%. By that time of day most aircraft have flown several legs already, and whatever went wrong earlier is still in the schedule.

Against the route

AA 3194 next to ORD to LAX

Every carrier on ORD to LAX combined arrived on time 72.5% of the time across 6,961 flights, so AA 3194 is 21 points behind it. American flew 3,052 flights on the same city pair under all its flight numbers, including this one, and those ran 68.6% on time. Across its whole network American Airlines managed 74.4%, which this flight trails by 23 points.

AA 3194 against its route and carrier
Compared with	Flights	On time	Avg delay	Cancelled	Grade
AA 3194thin sample	267	51.6%	62 min	5.24%	F−
All American Airlines on ORD–LAX	3,052	68.6%	75 min	2.29%	C
All carriers on ORD–LAX	6,961	72.5%	73 min	1.59%	C
American Airlines, whole network	986,297	74.4%	85 min	2.29%	C

Across the year

AA 3194 quarter by quarter

AA 3194 did not run the same all year. Its best quarter was Jan–Mar 2026 at 60.0% on time and its weakest Apr–Jun 2026 at 43.8%, a swing of 16 points on roughly 67 flights a quarter. The twelve-month rate averages over that, so if you are flying in a weak quarter the quarter's own figure is the better guide.

Jul–Sep 202591 flights49.4%
Oct–Dec 202573 flights53.6%
Jan–Mar 202653 flights60.0%
Apr–Jun 202650 flights43.8%

Scale runs 35% to 65%. Rows with fewer than 30 flights show a dash.

By weekday, AA 3194 did best on Saturday at 63.9% on time and worst on Thursday at 36.4%. Each day rests on about 38 flights, so a gap of 28 points is worth noticing but could still narrow in another year.

Delay causes

Why AA 3194 runs late

One category carries most of the weight here. Late-arriving aircraft accounts for 45% of the 7,618 delay minutes carriers reported, and the remaining four split what is left. The split is by minutes rather than by flights, so a few very long delays count for as much as many short ones.

Late-arriving aircraft
45%
Carrier
31%
National Airspace System
17%
Extreme weather
7%
Security
0%

45% of delay minutes trace back to a late-arriving aircraft, meaning the plane was already behind before it got here. That is a cascade, and cascades start small and grow through the day. Across 7,618 reported delay minutes here, that single category outweighs weather by 7 to one. It is the strongest argument for booking the first departure of the morning, when the aircraft has been sitting at the gate overnight with nothing to inherit. The split is drawn from 7,618 delay minutes reported on AA 3194.

Cancellations run at 5.24%, against 1.81% nationally. That is about one flight in twenty cancelled outright. A cancelled flight is invisible in every on-time figure on this page, so the punctuality numbers above describe only the flights that actually operated.

Connections and routes

What a delay on this flight costs

For anyone connecting, the number to weigh is not the on-time rate but the tail behind it. 13.9% of arrivals land a full hour or more behind schedule, against 8.1% nationally. A 45-minute layover does not survive that, and no amount of walking quickly changes it. Ninety minutes is the honest minimum here, and two hours if the onward flight is on a separate ticket.

At 1,744 miles this is transcontinental flying, and long routes get a quiet structural advantage. Scheduled block time on a flight this length carries more padding in absolute minutes, so a twenty-minute late departure often still becomes an on-time arrival. Read the on-time rate here as slightly flattering next to a short-haul route with the same operational quality.

The same number turns up on four other city pairs in the data, including STL to DFW (40), ORD to MCO (36) and BOS to PHL (8), but none flew often enough under AA 3194 to report a rate for. Carriers move flight numbers between routes, so the figures on this page apply to ORD to LAX only.

One caution: this is a thin sample. 267 flights over twelve months is enough to clear this site's floor but not enough to pin the rate down tightly, and a single bad week moves it by more than a point. Treat the grade as a rough reading.

What to do with this

Booking AA 3194

For a booking, the cancellation rate is the figure to plan around on AA 3194: 5.24% of its 267 scheduled flights did not operate. A late arrival costs about an hour, but a cancellation costs the day, so leave a later option open.

Where to go next

A flight number here means American Airlines’s own number as it reports to the DOT. How the figures are computed is on the methodology page.

Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics, on-time performance data, July 2025 to June 2026. Last updated 15 September 2026; recomputed monthly. How this data is collected.

Key figures